After a month of Thursday Night Football games that ended in one-score games, Week 9 brings NFL fans a chance to see the disparity between the best team in the NFL traveling to face one of the worst. Philadelphia is top five in both scoring offense and defense in 2022, while Houston is in the bottom five in scoring offense and in the bottom half of the league on the defensive end.
The Eagles have ballooned to 14-point road favorites with a point total that’s dropped to 45. The Texans have their work cut out for them to compete against a legitimate Super Bowl contender after a disappointing 1-5-1 start to their season.
In Week 8’s TNF game, our player prop best bets finished with a 2-1 record thanks to a big day from Mike Evans and three short field goals from Ryan Succop. Lamar Jackson did throw for two passing touchdowns to bury our bet of under 1.5.
Heading into a potentially lopsided Thursday night matchup this week, we’ve got another group of player prop bets to make this one more interesting.
Miles Sanders OVER 79.5 Rushing Yards
Best Available Odds: -114 at FanDuel
The Texans allow 5.6 yards per rush to opposing ballcarriers this season, ranking them second to last among NFL teams in 2022. The only game they’ve allowed under 135 yards rushing was a Week 4 home loss to the Chargers.
Houston just allowed over 300 yards on the ground to Derrick Henry and the Tennessee Titans.
Philadelphia ranks 29th in the league in attempted passes and 5th in the NFL in rushing attempts. Miles Sanders accounts for more than 46% of their carries and leads the next running back in their system by 90 attempts.
Just as Henry, Josh Jacobs, and Khalil Herbert have done this year, Sanders will break at least one long run against Houston. He’ll have enough attempts in a lopsided game to go over this rushing total.
Brevin Jordan UNDER 20.5 Receiving Yards
Best Available Odds: -114 at Caesars
Houston’s talented young tight end has struggled to stay on the field early in his career. Jordan has already missed three of the team’s first seven games this season due to an ankle injury.
Jordan is coming off his best game of the season with 19 yards receiving on two catches from four targets, but still is part of a crowded TE room with no sign of any emerging from the pack.
Philadelphia is not usually the team that opponents hit their stride against, and we’ll take another low-output game from Jordan as a result.
AJ Brown UNDER 4.5 Receptions
Best Available Odds: +120 at BetMGM
Brown has been a difference maker for this Eagles offense in 2022 and currently resides in the top 10 among NFL pass catchers in receiving yards, touchdowns, yards per catch, and yards per game.
Despite those numbers that warranted Philly trading a first and third-round draft pick for Brown, he’s had five of seven games this season with five catches or less. This number at 4.5 places a good amount of vig on the over when the expectation is that the Eagles will be running up and down the field on the Texans’ extremely poor run defense.
Brown will be involved, but not needed as the focal point of this Eagles offense in Week 9. We’ll roll the dice on a plus money play and take the under on Brown’s reception total.
