Baker Mayfield will miss at least three games with a dislocated thumb, handing the Buccaneers' offense to undrafted rookie Jalon Daniels and shaking up Tampa Bay's betting outlook.
Prediction markets have the Colts as slim favorites over the Commanders in London, but Jayden Daniels's health and Jonathan Taylor's ground game make this spread more complicated than the number suggests.
A model is a starting point, not a scripture.
Numbers get you 90% of the way, but injuries, weather, and locker room noise finish the job. Trust the process, but never stop asking questions of it.
One email, 6am. The single pick we're most confident in, the number to grab, and the trap to avoid. That's it.
