We are backing Coach Spo and the Heat to give Minnesota issues in South Beach tonight, while the Denver Nuggets should handle the Phoenix Suns behind some great play from Christian Braun in Friday night’s action.
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Miami just played Cleveland extremely tight at home and were a few inches away from sending that game to overtime. Back at home where they are 15-12 this season, I expect them to play the Wolves tough as Minnesota wraps up their two-game away trip.
Miami held the Wolves to just 94 points in November with Anthony Edwards going just 4 of 14 from beyond the arc. I think this is a game where Spo rallies his team to play some elite defense while getting key contributions from Kyle Anderson, Davion Mitchell, and some of the Miami role players against a Wolves bench that is struggling.
Per reports, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is out. Jalen Williams is out. Chet Holmgren is questionable. Lu Dort is out. Isaiah Hartenstein is out. Cason Wallace is out. That leaves Aaron Wiggins heading the offense against Portland tonight.
The 4th year wing is having a career year and has averaged a solid 15.5 PPG off the bench since the All-Star break. With a 40-point game already under his belt earlier in the season, Wiggins is a great bet to lead the Thunder in scoring tonight.
In games where Aaron has played 35+ minutes he’s gone for 26 and 41 points. Although OKC might drop this game, expect AW to come alive once again tonight.
Braun and the Nuggets take on the Suns at home tonight. In their February 8th matchup, Christian Braun came alive for 18 points, 6 dimes, and 7 boards in a 122 to 105 victory. The Suns allow 116 PPG (23rd) and nearly 8 rebounds per game to the small forward position.
Braun’s pace of play and success rate at the rim should get him some easy transition buckets against a Suns team that plays at the 20th highest pace this season. Expect a big Denver win and a Braun impact game. CB has hit this prop mark in four of his L5 games.
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