Dodgers vs Blue Jays Game 6 Prediction, Betting Odds, and Best Pick

The Toronto Blue Jays are just one win away from closing the deal and walking away with their first World Series win in 33 years. Up 3-2 in the World Series, they return north of the border to the Rogers Center tonight with a chance to knock out the Los Angeles Dodgers and claim their first title in over 3 decades.

They know it won’t be easy, as the Dodgers are turning to the best pitcher they’ve got in Yoshinobu Yamamoto, who’s been as dominant as anyone this postseason. But the Blue Jays have tons of momentum, home-field advantage, and a lineup that’s been delivering in the clutch.

Game 6 has all the makings of a classic, and the United States and Canada will be glued to their TVs tonight.

Game Details and Betting Odds

The game takes place at Rogers Center in Toronto, where the Jays have been excellent all season, posting a dominant 54-27 home record.

As of this morning, Los Angeles is a -146 moneyline favorite, with Toronto listed at +123. The total is set at 7.5 runs.

Despite being on the brink of elimination, the Dodgers are still getting respect from the bookmakers, and that’s largely thanks to Yamamoto. The Jays have won 3 of the last 4 in this series and outscored LA 12-3 in Games 4 and 5.

Yet the books still see value in the Dodgers, and we can’t help but think it’s because of Yamamoto.

Pitching Matchup — Yamamoto vs Gausman

Let’s be clear — Yoshinobu Yamamoto has been absolutely phenomenal. In 4 playoff starts, the rookie right-hander has allowed just 5 earned runs across 28.2 innings. He owns a dominant 1.57 ERA, insane 0.73 WHIP, and has punched out 26 batters while walking just 4.

In Game 2 of this series, which was also in Toronto, he threw a complete game gem, giving up just a single run on 4 hits with 8 strikeouts and no walks. He’s been the Dodgers’ postseason MVP so far, and the club will need another ace-level outing to stay alive and push this series to Game 7.

On the other side of the diamond, Kevin Gausman has held his own. His 2.55 ERA and 0.93 WHIP over 24.2 innings this postseason are nothing to scoff at, though he’s been a bit more vulnerable to the long ball. He’s surrendered 4 home runs, and keeping the Dodgers’ top hitters quiet will be his primary challenge.

But Gausman won’t have to do it all himself. He just needs to get through 5 or 6 decent innings and let the Jays’ bullpen — which has looked solid lately — take over. That’s still a tall order considering how hot these Dodgers bats can get when they’re on.

Toronto’s Offense Looks Locked In

It’s no secret that Toronto’s bats are rolling. In Game 5, they racked up 6 runs and hit 3 home runs, including a 394-foot blast from Vladimir Guerrero Jr. in the 1st inning. Guerrero has been scorching hot, going 18-for-41 with a .439 AVG over his last 10 games with 5 homers and 6 RBIs.

Bo Bichette has also been a steady force all season, batting .311 with 94 RBI, and continues to come through in big spots. Add in the power from George Springer and the clutch hitting of guys like Davis Schneider, and Toronto’s lineup is dangerous from top to bottom.

Over the last 10 games, the Jays are 7-3, batting .288, and have outscored their opponents by 27 runs. That’s a team peaking at the right time, and they’ll need every ounce of their bats if they’re going to close out this series tonight.

Dodgers’ Bats Running Cold

Meanwhile, the Dodgers have gone 7-3 as well in their last 10, but that number is deceptive. Their team batting average in that stretch is a dismal .216, and they’ve only outscored opponents by one run during that span.

A big part of those numbers is that they were completely shut down in Game 4 and could only muster a single run on 4 hits in Game 5. The offense, outside of Shohei Ohtani, has been inconsistent and largely ineffective. Ohtani has had a monster season with 55 home runs, 102 RBIs, and a .282 AVG, but he can’t do it alone.

Freddie Freeman and Teoscar Hernandez need to step up if the Dodgers want to push this to Game 7. So far, they haven’t shown too much sign of life. They have both put up a few hits, but it’s nothing like we’re used to seeing.

And then there’s the bullpen…

Bullpen Advantage Goes to Toronto

One of the biggest storylines from the past few games is how the Blue Jays have dominated late. From the 7th inning on in Games 3 through 5, Toronto has outscored Los Angeles 8-1. That’s not just clutch hitting — it’s a direct shot at LA’s bullpen.

The Dodgers’ pen has been shaky to say the least, especially in close games. Yamamoto has been lights out, but he can’t throw another complete game every time. Well, maybe he can, but that’s a big ask. If Toronto can work counts and chase him after 6-7 innings, they’ll have a clear path to exploit the Dodgers’ relief arms.

That’s where this game could swing.

Prediction — Jays Wrap It Up

This is a classic case of a team peaking at the right time versus one that looks spent and out of gas. The Dodgers are banking everything on Yamamoto, and it might not be enough. Toronto is deeper, hotter, and playing on their home turf.

Yes, Yamamoto is elite, but he’s still just one arm. And if the Jays can get him out of the game by the 7th, that’ll leave them 3 innings to do the damage, and they’ll have every chance to cash in again late. Guerrero and Bichette are locked in, and Gausman has shown he can do just enough to keep Toronto in control.

• Prediction: Blue Jays 4, Dodgers 2
• Best Bet: Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline at +123

The betting value is too good to pass up with the home team holding all the momentum and a red-hot lineup. This is the Jays’ night. They finish it at home.