2021 Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule

2021 Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule

Our custom strength of schedule cheat sheet releases each year the week before training camp starts. We time it to allow the majority of offseason moves to complete and rosters to take their near-final shape prior to publishing. This is because, unlike the majority of cheat sheets available across the fantasy and sports betting industry, our’s is not solely based on last season’s data.

We have found a way to build in offseason moves and roster improvement using PFF player grades, comparing each team’s 2020 roster with their projected 2021 roster. We also account for potential impact rookies and scheme changes.

While our formula for calculating strength of schedule kicks out a grade for each team, we feel like the table below is the best way to display the data. In the case of ties (there were several this season) we give the better schedule to the team with the easier run through the fantasy playoffs.

We feel like our 2021 strength of schedule cheat sheet will once again bet the most accurate in the industry. Be sure to read through our breakdown on how we recommend using SOS in your 2021 fantasy draft strategy.

TEAM QB RB WR TE DEF
TB 8 27 12 14 6
CAR 12 19 7 16 5
JAX 27 9 24 19 11
IND 18 14 30 2 22
ATL 3 23 6 5 1
TEN 28 20 31 17 9
NO 2 15 4 9 17
SF 22 8 9 20 21
NE 6 13 2 8 24
LAC 19 7 19 21 10
SEA 29 30 25 31 15
LAR 25 6 18 11 20
BAL 14 12 14 18 23
DAL 24 29 10 26 19
PHI 13 26 1 15 13
ARI 21 4 21 12 30
NYG 20 32 8 28 25
MIN 26 16 27 25 18
DEN 1 11 5 3 3
CHI 31 25 32 29 31
HOU 4 10 28 1 26
BUF 5 18 22 6 8
GB 30 31 29 30 29
LV 9 24 13 22 7
DET 32 28 26 32 16
NYJ 7 1 3 7 2
PIT 15 3 16 10 32
WAS 23 21 11 23 28
CIN 16 17 15 27 12
KC 10 22 17 24 27
CLE 17 2 20 13 14
MIA 11 5 23 4 4

 
using strength of schedule cheat sheets

How to Use Strength of Schedule in Fantasy Football

A strength of schedule cheat sheet is the type of fantasy resource that absolutely has to be in your tool kit, but is not something you will draft solely off of. For instance, we are not going to pass on Russell Wilson because he has the 4th toughest QB schedule, but we may draft Lamar Jackson over him because he has the 14th easiest.

Similarly, if we are comparing two players that have a similar strength of schedule ranking, we may use their playoff schedule to determine which player we ultimately draft. It is also smart to at least check matchups for your backup QB and TE for your starter’s bye week.

The last, and arguably most important use for a strength of schedule cheat sheet is as a tool to compare a player’s schedule from the previous season to his schedule this season. One may think Teddy Bridgewater will benefit from his QB1 schedule, but the numbers he played the second-easiest QB schedule last season as well.

Patrick Mahomes finished 2020 as a top-3 QB despite playing the third hardest schedule. This season he has the 10th easiest schedule amongst all quarterbacks. Cleveland has the 2nd easiest RB schedule this season, but they played the third-hardest last season.

This same strategy is effective when looking at player props for the 2021 NFL season. One of our favorite bets this season is Nick Chubb to lead the league in rushing, and it is easy to see why after breaking down the disparity between his schedule last season vs this season.

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