Blue Jays vs Dodgers World Series Game 5 Prediction, Betting Odds, and Our Best Bet

The 2025 World Series is officially a sprint to the finish for the last 3 games. After a convincing 6-2 win in Game 4, the Toronto Blue Jays have leveled out the series 2-2 with the Los Angeles Dodgers, flipping momentum back in their favor heading into a massive Game 5 matchup at Dodger Stadium tonight.

With the series guaranteed to return to Toronto for Game 6, this game could set the tone for who takes control heading into the final stretch of the season. With the Dodgers favored at -207 on the moneyline and Toronto listed as +168 underdogs, bookmakers are still leaning heavily toward the home team — despite recent trends pointing in the Blue Jays’ direction after last night.

Game Details and Pitching Matchup

The Dodgers are again turning to veteran Blake Snell, hoping for a bounce-back performance after he was shelled in a Game 1 collapse. Toronto will counter him with rookie Trey Yesavage, who’s shown flashes this postseason but has yet to pitch well on the road, or even against a lineup this deep.

Snell’s Game 1 outing was easily his worst of the playoffs, where he has generally excelled. He lasted just 5 innings, giving up 8 hits, 5 earned runs, and walked 3 in what turned into an 11-4 rout for the Jays. Everyone was surprised. That start raised his playoff ERA to 2.42, a number that still looks solid thanks to his dominant work earlier in October. Prior to that implosion, Snell had allowed only 2 earned runs in 21 innings against the Reds, Phillies, and Brewers. Those are some serious tough lineups to take on.

Yesavage doesn’t bring that same level of experience as Snell does, but he’s otherwise been fairly serviceable. His postseason ERA sits at 4.26 across 19 innings, and while he was knocked around in his last outing against LA with 4 innings, 4 hits, and 2 earned runs, he managed to limit the damage and get out with a lead. That’s all Toronto needed, and they never looked back. The bullpen and bats did the rest to take the series 1-0.

Why the Blue Jays Are Live Dogs

If you’ve watched any of this postseason, one thing is as clear as day — Toronto’s offense is relentless. They lead all playoff teams in runs with 94, hits with 159, home runs with 25, and are slashing a dominant .285/.348/.475. This is a deep, balanced attack that doesn’t rely on a couple of guys to do the damage. This team can easily bat a round.

That said, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has undoubtedly been the face of their October surge. His third-inning yard bomb last night was his 7th HR of the postseason, breaking a Blue Jays franchise record. He also holds the team’s playoff records with 14 RBIs and is tied for the most extra-base hits with 10. If Snell makes a mistake, and we know he can, Guerrero is the one guy who can make it hurt immediately.

Also up there with Guerrero, Bichette, Barger, Lukes, and Varsho have all delivered key at-bats during Toronto’s 2 wins this series. In Game 4 alone, the Jays racked up 11 hits, with 5 of them coming in a 4-run 7th inning that put the game out of reach. That type of late-inning surge shows how dangerous this team is once they get to the bullpen.

Defensively, Toronto still has a few question marks, especially with Yesavage on the mound. He’s issued 10 walks in 4 playoff appearances, and that could be a problem against a patient Dodgers lineup. You can bet that they’re ready for him this time around. But when he limits base runners and keeps the ball in the park, the Jays have been able to manage around his growing pains.

Dodgers Need Snell to Settle In

The Dodgers are clearly hoping Game 1 was an outlier for Snell, and all signs point to that being the case. He’s been one of the best playoff performers over the last several seasons and came into this series on a roll. If he can locate his fastball and mix in his changeup more effectively than last time on the bump, LA has a real shot to suppress Toronto’s bats.

But it’s worth noting that Snell has already made 26 playoff starts in his career. This will be the first time he’s faced the same opponent twice in a postseason series, and while that might not seem important, that’s a key wrinkle. Toronto saw him just 5 days ago and made him pay, and if they stay patient and force him to work, they could crack him again by the 5th inning. But the same holds true for Yesavage.

Offensively, the Dodgers haven’t looked quite right. While they rank 3rd in team batting average this postseason with a .243, they’re down in almost every major offensive stat compared to Toronto. They’ve scored 63 runs, hit 20 HRs, and have been especially streaky in clutch spots. In Game 4, they managed just 6 hits, most of which came early, and failed to capitalize on several scoring chances.

The top of the lineup is stacked with Betts, Freeman, and Smith, and all 3 need to get going. Betts, in particular, has struggled to get on base consistently this series, and that’s allowed Toronto’s pitchers to navigate the early innings with less stress. As for Shohei Ohtani, we can almost rule him out at this point. If the Jays even get the sense that he’s on for the night, they’ll walk him every time like they did in Game 3, where he broke records with 4 intentional walks.

Prediction and Best Bet

It’s hard to fade Blake Snell when he’s on his game, but we already saw what happens when he’s not, and the Blue Jays have proven they can hit him hard, and you can bet they’re going to be locked in. Add in the fact that Guerrero Jr. is on fire and how explosive this lineup has looked, and it’s fair to question why Toronto is such a large underdog again.

Yes, Yesavage is a rookie on the road, but Toronto doesn’t necessarily need him to go deep. With a rested bullpen and all their key arms available, the Jays can go to the pen early if needed and ride the bats again. The Dodgers haven’t shown enough consistency at the plate to justify this price.

• Prediction: Blue Jays 6, Dodgers 4
• Best Bet: Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline at +168

We like the Toronto Blue Jays on the moneyline at +168 as the best value play in Game 5. The Jays are confident after a big win last night, they’ve cracked the dominant Snell once, and they’ve got the momentum. We’re going to ride the hot bats until they cool off. Despite what the bookmakers and public bets are saying, tonight’s game will put the series 3-2 in favor of the Jays.