Ravens vs Chargers: 2 Player Props for Monday Night Football

Fresh off watching the Steelers and Browns play an AFC North classic in the snow on Thursday night, the Ravens have the luxury of traveling to Los Angeles in late November for a dome game against a team they haven’t lost to in a decade. It’s Harbaugh vs. Harbaugh on the sidelines for the first time since the Ravens beat the 49ers in Super Bowl 47, and plenty of stakes are attached to this meeting.

LA and Baltimore are fifth and sixth in the AFC playoff picture entering Week 12. The Chargers trail the Chiefs by two games in the AFC West after KC suffered their first loss of the season to Buffalo a week ago. Baltimore fell to Pittsburgh in Week 11 to build some cushion in the North, which has helped now that the Steelers dropped a difficult road game on Thursday in Cleveland.

In Los Angeles on Monday, the Chargers are home underdogs of three points to the visiting Ravens. Baltimore is 3-2 as a road favorite in 2024, while LA lost to Kansas City by seven points and failed to cover as 6.5-point dogs in late September. Overall, the Chargers have been a lucrative ATS team this season, boasting matching records of 7-3 both in the standings and against the number. Baltimore is 5-5-1 overall ATS.

These teams will have opportunities to exploit glaring weaknesses on the field. LA is 10th in total defense and fifth in passing defense but has struggled to defend the run. The Chargers have given up the eighth-most yards per attempt to opposing rushers, although they’ve only allowed three TDs on the ground in 2024. They will have their hands full against the Ravens’ top-ranked offense, which averages an NFL-best 7.0 yards per play and leads the AFC in scoring with 30.4 points per game.

The Ravens’ defense has been elite against the run but far from it against passing attacks. Baltimore’s 3.4 rush yards per attempt allowed is the best in the NFL, but their pass defense is costing them games. The secondary is 27th in net yards per pass attempt, and as a whole, the team ranks 28th in opponent third-down conversion rate.

Derrick Henry OVER 88.5 Rushing Yards

Given the Chargers’ defensive weakness, which we noted above, it seems obvious that the Ravens will attempt and need to run the ball effectively to alleviate the burden on Lamar Jackson and their defense.
Henry’s workload has fluctuated over the last few months.

After carrying 24+ times in three of four games between Weeks 3-6, Henry is averaging 15.6 rushes per game in five contests since.

Notably, the NFL’s leading rusher has averaged 111 yards per game against teams outside the AFC North. We like him to crack the century mark against LA on Monday.

Will Dissly OVER 41.5 Receiving Yards

The veteran tight end has quietly been accumulating targets and building rapport with Justin Herbert over the last six weeks. Dissly has garnered 5+ looks in five of six games, averaging 6.3 targets and reaching 80+ receiving yards twice.

He also has 17 first-down conversions on the season, ranking second on the team among pass catchers and fitting into the narrative that Baltimore struggles to end opponents’ drives when they have the chance.

The Ravens allow the 10th-most fantasy points to tight ends in the NFL this season, and we like Dissly to be a key beneficiary of Herbert’s chain-moving targets.