Happy Thanksgiving, everyone! We have a lot to be thankful for this week, and the three games on the slate are a big part of that.
We are going to cover each game individually, cooking up our three favorite props in each contest, which can all be found on Underdog.
The first Thanksgiving game is between the Green Bay Packers and the Detroit Lions. This game has a different meaning for both teams. For the Packers, this is an opportunity to get back on track. They are currently 4-6 and have the eighth-best record in the NFC.
While it might take a small miracle for them to make the playoffs at this rate, being the Lions would be a necessary step in doing so. For the Lions, this is an opportunity to move to 9-2, seriously changing the tides on what has been an otherwise uninspiring franchise as of late.
We’re excited to see how this goes down. We are hoping this is a shootout, and our picks reflect a high-scoring affair. Without further introduction, let’s get into it!
This is our favorite play of this game. Aaron Jones has been declared out for this game, and his status for the rest of the season is in serious jeopardy. While Dillon hasn’t been the picture of efficiency this season, he has gotten significant work when Jones has been out.
Dillon has rushed 15 or more times in two of the past three games Jones has been out, including a 20-carry game against the Las Vegas Raiders.
We aren’t necessarily expecting a ton of yards out of Dillon, considering his season average of 3.5 yards per carry. However, with Jones out, we’re extremely confident in this play of over 14.5 rushing attempts.
Jahmyr Gibbs has been an increasingly exciting player on the Lions’ roster. He was drafted in the first round for a reason and has now started to show his prowess when on the field.
Gibbs is a massive part of the Lions’ passing and rushing game, averaging 132 all-purpose yards over the past three games. We’re anticipating a monster performance from Gibbs in this one, which will include him garnering at least four catches, and hitting the over on this line against the Packers.
Running backs average 5.1 catches per game against the Packers, an even better reason to take the line on Gibbs this week.
If the Packers are expected to stay in this one, Jordan Love will need to throw the ball a lot. When AJ Dillon isn’t rushing, we’re expecting Love to put up big numbers in the passing game, building off his performance last week.
Love threw for over 300 yards in that game for the first time in his career. He’s starting to come into his own as a passer, and the Lions’ defense presents a unique opportunity for him to have another big game.
Look for Love to throw closer to 250 yards in this one, making the over an easy cash.
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