Hurricanes vs Capitals Game 4 Prediction, Odds & Best Bet

Game 4 is a must-win for Washington after a 4-0 loss in Game 3. Can Carolina’s special teams carry them to a commanding 3-1 series lead?
Seth Jarvis of the Carolina Hurricanes looks to stay hot against the Washington Capitals in Game 4 at Capital One Arena.

The Carolina Hurricanes have taken an early 2-1 series lead over the Washington Capitals, following an absolutely dominant 4-0 win in Game 3. With another win on the line, Game 4 is set to be a crucial showdown as the Capitals look to stay alive at home and keep their playoff hopes within reach.

The Hurricanes are looking to take a commanding 3-1 lead, while the Capitals need a bounce-back performance to avoid falling into a deep hole that is almost impossible to crawl out of. The action is set to unfold at Capital One Arena tonight while Carolina enters as the -245 favorite after their one-sided win in Game 3 which was bolstered by Frederik Andersen’s stellar performance, recording a 21-save shutout.

Team Puck Line Total Moneyline
Washington Capitals +1.5
-135
O 5.5
+100
+200
Carolina Hurricanes -1.5
+114
U 5.5
-120
-245

Can the Capitals Find Their Rhythm?

After a tough loss in Game 3, the Washington Capitals are in a tough spot just 3 games into this series.

Despite the best efforts of players like Dylan Strome and Alex Ovechkin, Washington failed to find their offensive stride. Carolina’s depth got the job done as Andrei Svechnikov scored a key goal in the 2nd period of Game 3, and Jack Roslovic extended the lead with a power-play goal in the final minute of the period. Overall, the Capitals were outshot, 28-21, and struggled on the power play, failing to convert on both of their chances.

Washington’s woes have been felt across both ends of the ice. Their special teams, which were in the middle of the pack during the regular season, continue to struggle in the postseason. On the flip side, Carolina’s penalty kill is currently the best in the league at 95.5%. As they sit near the bottom in the postseason for goals scored per game, Washington’s power-play performance will need to improve quite a bit if they are to have any shot at a comeback.

Carolina’s Dominance: Balanced Play on Both Ends

For the Hurricanes, their special teams and balanced play have been the key to their success.

With Sebastian Aho anchoring the 1st line, they have been able to create some serious offensive pressure while also limiting Washington’s opportunities. Their success on the power play continues to dominate, converting at an impressive 33.3% which is 2nd best in the postseason. Meanwhile, the PK unit has been virtually unstoppable at 95.5%, the best in the NHL and it’s not even close. Defensively, Carolina has allowed just 2 goals in their last 2 games combined, showcasing their elite defensive prowess.

Seth Jarvis has been integral to their offense as well. He’s contributed helpers in 4 of his last 5 games against the Caps, including a key assist in Game 3. With Jarvis’ chemistry alongside Aho and Svechnikov, Carolina’s depth makes them hard to contain. With the Hurricanes boasting a top-ranked penalty kill in the playoffs, there are not many chances for any opponents to get a jump on them even when they’re undisciplined.

Key Prop — Seth Jarvis to Record an Assist

We love prop bets to spice up our bet slip and we’re sure you’re going to love this one.

Seth Jarvis has been a consistent playmaker for the Hurricanes and there’s no denying that. Jarvis has registered an assist in 4 of the Hurricanes’ last 5 games against the Capitals. His recent form, with assists in both of the last 2 games of this series, makes him a solid pick for Over 0.5 Assists at a decent +120.

In Game 3, Jarvis played a big role in Carolina’s power-play success and has been a key contributor to setting up chances for his teammates. His line continues to generate quality high-danger scoring chances, and with Washington’s penalty struggles and Carolina’s ability to create offense from all lines, Jarvis could easily hit the over once again with a quick pass.

With the odds of +120, this prop provides value for those looking to capitalize on his continued involvement in the Hurricane’s playmaking.

Prediction & Best Bet

The Carolina Hurricanes have shown they are the more balanced and disciplined team in this series. Unless Alex Ovechkin or Dylan Strome steps up to provide an offensive spark, the Canes should secure the win without too much resistance. Washington’s penalty troubles, combined with their inability to match Carolina’s depth, will likely lead to another Hurricanes win.

We’re looking for Carolina to play a solid road game, capitalize on Washington’s mistakes, and edge closer to a series win with a 3-1 win.

  • HelloRookie’s Prediction: Hurricanes 3, Capitals 1
  • Best Bet: Hurricanes’ money line at -245 odds

Despite the odds sitting at only -245, the Canes have been the more complete team. Carolina’s defensive dominance and ability to stay out of the penalty box will be too much for the Capitals to handle. However, if you wanted to throw a little more muscle behind this pick, you could always take the Canes on the -1.5 puck line at +114 or even pair this money line bet with the Jarvis prop to make an SGP with a little more flex to it.

Matt Brown Bio Avatar

Matt Brown


Head of Sports Betting and DFS

Matt’s love for sports betting and daily fantasy sports, coupled with a deep understanding of football, hockey, and baseball, shapes his innovative thoughts on Hello Rookie. He has a B.S. in Aeronautical Computer Science and a M.S. in Project Management.