Eagles vs Packers Prediction, Betting Odds, and Our Best Bet for Monday Night Football
One of the biggest matchups in Week 10 pits the Philadelphia Eagles, who are 6-2, against the Green Bay Packers, sitting at 5-2-1 in a primetime clash at Lambeau Field tonight. With both teams sitting as the NFC’s top contenders, this one has serious implications for playoff seeding and momentum down the last half of the season. It’s also a rematch of last year’s wild-card game, where Philly ended Green Bay’s season with a 22-10 win.
Game Details and Betting Odds
The Packers opened as 2.5-point favorites at home, with the total hovering around 44.5 points. Philadelphia comes in at 5-3 ATS, while Green Bay has underperformed for bettors at 3-5.
Green Bay is 3-0 in its last 3 home games against defending Super Bowl champs, taking down the Rams and Chiefs in back-to-back seasons. But this Eagles team is a different beast as they’re balanced, deep, and rested after a bye week. Given how dominant the Eagles have been, the odds for this one feel a bit off.
| Team | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles | +1.5 −118 |
O 45.5 −112 |
−102 |
| Packers | −1.5 −102 |
U 45.5 −108 |
−118 |
Why the Eagles Have the Edge
Philadelphia is built to win games in quite a few ways, and that versatility will matter in a cold-weather road game like tonight. They come in riding high after absolutely steamrolling the Giants 38-20 in their last outing. In that game, they ran for 276 yards — the second-most rushing yards by any team this season. Saquon Barkley was simply unstoppable as he racked up 3 TDs and 109 yards on the ground. He also posted 119 rushing yards in last year’s playoff win over Green Bay, and we’re not so sure the Packers haven’t figured out how to stop him yet.
Quarterback Jalen Hurts is playing efficient football, with 15 TD passes to just one pick on the season. He’s added 5 more scores on the ground and ranks 3rd in the NFL in total touchdowns. His connection with DeVonta Smith has quietly become one of the league’s most efficient, where Smith is averaging 10.7 yards per target — good for 2nd-best in the NFL — and has racked up 588 receiving yards. TE Dallas Goedert is also a red-zone threat, and he’s tied for 2nd in the league with 7 touchdown catches. Needless to say, the Eagles have plenty of options for getting the ball in the end zone.
The Eagles’ offensive line is also holding up well despite a few key injuries. Star RT Lane Johnson hasn’t allowed a sack or even a QB hit all season, giving Hurts a clean pocket to work from.
Defensively, Zack Baun continues to be a difference-maker. He’s one of only 3 linebackers in the league with 60+ tackles, 3 sacks, a forced fumble, and a takeaway. He’s the top-graded pass-rushing linebacker by PFF, and he’s had huge games against the Packers — 2 sacks in Brazil and an interception in last year’s wild-card win to seal the Packers’ fate.
While Philadelphia ranks just 23rd in total defense, it’s better than the stats suggest when it comes to limiting big plays and creating turnovers. Their +4 turnover differential is a big reason they keep winning close games. It’s tough to rely on turnovers, but it’s simply an indicator that they’re defense is clicking.
What the Packers Need to Overcome
Green Bay has the offensive firepower to keep up, at least on paper. They rank 8th overall in offense and 11th in scoring. But injuries have turned that strength into a big question mark. The loss of star TE Tucker Kraft — who had 489 yards and 6 touchdowns — will hurt, especially in the red zone. Luke Musgrave, who steps in to replace him, has just 88 yards receiving this season, but he’s still a solid contender.
Quarterback Jordan Love is coming off his worst game of the year. Against Carolina, he completed fewer than 60% of his passes and threw 3 interceptions with no touchdowns. That was the first time all season he failed to find the end zone. Love has struggled under pressure, and with Philadelphia’s front 7 heating up at the right time, he’ll need a cleaner pocket than he had last week.
The Packers’ injury list is long as they’ll be without Lukas Van Ness again on the defensive line, and top corner Nate Hobbs is also out. That’s a big problem when facing a team with as many weapons as Philly. Zach Tom, Matthew Golden, and Dontayvion Wicks are all questionable, which leaves the receiving corps and offensive line in flux.
Josh Jacobs will be key to keeping the Eagles honest. He leads the NFL with 10 rushing TDs and has 25 TD runs since the start of 2024. If Green Bay can get him going early, it’ll take pressure off Love and open up some play-action options. But Philly ranks 19th in rush defense and will be focused on stacking the box, especially if the Packers’ passing game sputters again.
Green Bay’s defense has been a bright spot compared to other years. They’re 5th in the league overall, and they’ve been tough in the red zone. Edge rusher Micah Parsons has 44 QB pressures — only second only to Aidan Hutchinson — and Xavier McKinney made big plays last week with both a sack and an interception. However, their inability to contain mobile quarterbacks and missed tackles in space has shown up in losses.
Prediction and Best Bet
This MNF game really comes down to execution, and the Eagles are simply the more complete and healthier team right now. The Packers’ offense is too banged up, and the loss of Kraft strips them of one of their top scoring weapons. Unless Love has a career night, which he could, and gets help from a mistake-free running game, we think it’s hard to see Green Bay keeping pace.
Prediction: Eagles 27, Packers 24
Best Bet: Eagles on the moneyline at -102
The Eagles have a slight advantage on both sides of the ball. Hurts is protecting the ball, the offensive line is dominating, and the defense is opportunistic, now add in their recent success against the Packers — 3 straight wins, including 2 last season — and it all points to Philly taking care of business again, even at Lambeau.
This game will probably be a slugfest, but current momentum all points to Philly going up 7-2.
Matt Brown
Head of Sports Betting and DFS
Matt’s love for sports betting and daily fantasy sports, coupled with a deep understanding of football, hockey, and baseball, shapes his innovative thoughts on Hello Rookie. He has a B.S. in Aeronautical Computer Science and a M.S. in Project Management.
