Dodgers vs Brewers Prediction, Betting Odds, and Our Best Bet


The Los Angeles Dodgers are stumbling into Milwaukee at the wrong time. Riding a surprising 4-game losing streak, LA looks to snap out of it against a surging Brewers team that just crushed them 9-1 just last night. Tonight’s showdown at American Family Field features 2 intriguing arms on the bump, but it’s the recent form of both clubs that is generating the most buzz by bettors.
Game Details and Pitching Matchup
The first pitch is set for 7:40 PM ET tonight in Milwaukee as the Dodgers send out veteran lefty Clayton Kershaw, who’s posted a perfect 4-0 record with a 3.43 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in 44.2 innings. Sure, he’s been effective, but he’s also been hittable at times. He’s allowed 6 home runs and 32 hits heading into this game and he’s been walking more batters than usual and striking out fewer.
On the other side of the field, Jacob Misiorowski has quietly impressed in his short stint. The Brewers rookie RHP is 3-1 with a 3.20 ERA and an absolutely stellar 0.92 WHIP across just under 20 innings of work. He’s given up only 3 dingers and walked just 8 which goes to show he’s polished beyond his experience level. Of course, he’s yet to face a lineup as deep as the Dodgers’ which makes this start one of the biggest tests so far.
Odds and Betting Lines
Team | Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
---|---|---|---|
Los Angeles Dodgers Clayton Kershaw |
-1.5 +133 |
O 8.5 -112 |
-127 |
Milwaukee Brewers Jacob Misiorowski |
+1.5 -163 |
U 8.5 -108 |
+105 |
Bookmakers have the Dodgers as slight road favorites, with the moneyline at -127. The Brewers come in nearly even at +105 which offers solid value for a team that’s won 6 of their last 10 and just dominated one of the best teams in the MLB. The total for the game is set at 8.5 runs, with slight juice on the over at -112, and the under sitting at -108. That might seem high given who’s starting on the mound for the game, but it goes to show that Kershaw and Misiorowski are not perfect. On the run line, LA is +133 to win by at least 2, while Milwaukee is favored to cover +1.5 at -163.
Dodgers vs Brewers Analysis
Let’s start with the obvious — the Dodgers are in a funk and nobody saw this coming. They’ve dropped 4 straight games and have been outscored by an insane 20 runs over their last 10. Of course, a major contributor to that was their embarrassing 18-1 loss to the Astros last week.
Their offense has gone ice-cold, hitting just .219 in that stretch. Even with the power of Shohei Ohtani and his 30 HR and 56 RBI and consistency from Will Smith who’s hitting .332 AVG and .557 SLG, the lineup hasn’t produced enough against solid teams. The pitching staff has been worse — LA’s team ERA over the last ten games is a brutal 5.73. However, this is the 2025 Dodgers we’re talking about so there’s no way anyone can easily write them off.
Meanwhile, Milwaukee is trending up. They’ve gone 6-4 in their last 10, with a team ERA of just 3.03 and a team batting average of .251. Overall, those aren’t bad numbers. They’ve outscored opponents by 17 in that span and have won 2 straight, including that 9-1 beatdown of LA last night. They’re doing it with a solid balance of timely hitting, solid bullpen work, and quality starts. Christian Yelich remains the centerpiece of their offense, with 18 HR, 63 RBI, and a .260 average. Helping him out is rookie Jackson Chourio who has caught fire, racking up 9 RBIs in his last 10 games.
Statistically, the Dodgers hold edges in many offensive categories mainly because they’ve been hot all year. They’re 2nd in MLB in batting average with .260, 2nd in home runs per game with 1.5, and top-5 in runs scored. But they’re struggling to convert those numbers into wins right now. Milwaukee, despite being somewhat less explosive as they sit 16th in batting average and 22nd in homers, has leaned on pitching and speed — they’re 3rd in stolen bases per game — to create offense in other ways.
Clayton Kershaw will need to be as sharp as ever. That’s because Milwaukee’s aggressive approach and ability to force mistakes on the basepaths can be dangerous. The Brewers also have the edge late in games, with a more reliable bullpen and fewer walks dished out.
The home field is a consideration as well. The Brewers are a decent 28-17 at home, while LA is just 23-19 on the road. And when you combine that with the fact that Milwaukee has the hotter bats, the better recent pitching, and the edge in momentum — the slight underdog moneyline looks more than justified.
Prediction and Best Bet
We can’t deny the fact that the Dodgers are still one of the league’s most dangerous teams on paper. But let’s not forget that they’re running into Milwaukee at the wrong time. Misiorowski may not go deep, but he should give the Brewers enough quality innings to keep them in the game early. If LA’s bats stay quiet again and Kershaw doesn’t dominate like his old ways, this is easily Milwaukee’s game to lose.
- Dodgers vs Brewers Prediction: Brewers 4, Dodgers 3
- Best Bet: Milwaukee Brewers moneyline at +105
We’ll take the Milwaukee Brewers to win outright at +105. It’s rare to get plus money on a team that is simply playing better baseball, has the home-field advantage, and is coming off a dominant head-to-head win. This feels like another spot where the underdog cashes and we’ll jump on those bets all day long.

Matt Brown
Head of Sports Betting and DFS
Matt’s love for sports betting and daily fantasy sports, coupled with a deep understanding of football, hockey, and baseball, shapes his innovative thoughts on Hello Rookie. He has a B.S. in Aeronautical Computer Science and a M.S. in Project Management.