Week 12 of College Football is here, and through 11 weeks, my subscribers are up 23 units on 17.8% ROI and a 60% hit rate! This weekend has a couple top tier matchups, while other teams are looking to become bowl-eligible, or position themselves for a late season run!
UCLA travels Friday night to Washington, in a battle of two teams going in opposite directions. While Washington has struggled in 3 of 5 and 4 of their last 6 games, UCLA has been rather impressive. They have won 3 straight, 2 on the road, and last week’s performance against Iowa caught some attention.
Both teams have been battle tested, played similar opponents, and I do expect a slower game here. 12 of UCLA’s last 16 games have gone to the under, they play a slower style of football and look to wear teams down. They are very stout defensively and allow the 2nd least yards/rush in the Big Ten and one of the best in the country.
Both teams are also quite good at limiting explosive plays downfield. UCLA has stayed under in 5 of their last 6, while Washington has stayed under this total in 8 of their 10 games played. I expect both teams to struggle moving the field with big chunks and we should see less possessions because of that.
To expect these two teams to both score and be involved in high scoring games shouldn’t shock anyone. Kansas has been over this line in all 6 conference games, while BYU has been over in 4 of their 5 conference games. The one game BYU did not go over was the last game vs one of the tougher teams in conference to score on, Utah.
I expect BYU to get back to their scoring ways this season which has seen them score at least 34 points in every game before last. Minus that Utah game, BYU is averaging 37.6 in conference play. BYU has also allowed an average of 23 points in those 5 games, and those two averages total 60, giving us a 4.5 point cushion here.
Kansas, in 6 conference games is averaging 33 points, 28.6 in 3 road games, and are allowing 30.6 in conference. I don’t see either one of these teams slowing each other down, give me the over in this one!
This is our bread and butter of College Football. We are cashing over 80% of our Anytime TD bets in College Football this season and I do not expect that to change. Now while every wager doesn’t always cash, a lot of them have, because we target specific players, and particularly the top ones.
Cam Skattebo of Arizona St has scored in 6 straight games and 7 of 8 overall. Over his last 6 games he has scored 12 touchdowns, hitting 2 in+ in 5 of 6 and had 3 in his last game. Arizona St rushes it 60% of the time and I expect them to continue that vs KSU this weekend.
Jeremiyah Love has been spectacular this season, scoring in every contest for Notre Dame. Now they get a hungry Virginia team that the Irish should be able to handle. Riley Leonard always gets his, but he always makes sure his running mate, with 11 touchdowns, eats too!
My Best Bets:
Friday: UCLA/Washington Under 47 (-110) Bet365
Saturday: Kansas/BYU Over 55.5 (-115) ESPNBet
2-Leg (-108) Caesars
C. Skattebo (ASU) + J. Love (ND) Both to Score
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