5 Player Prop Picks for Wild Card Weekend

Get ready for Wild Card Weekend with these 5 top player prop bets. From safe picks to high-upside plays, these picks are packed with value for your bet slip.
Dawson Knox of the Buffalo Bills is one of the best NFL player prop bets heading into Wild Card Weekend

Wild Card Weekend is finally here, and we’ve got some huge player prop picks for the games ahead. These bets mix a little bit of plus-money plays with strong stat trends to give you the edge you need to load up your bet slip with some confidence.

To help you get started, we’re breaking down 5 of the best props you should load up with this weekend.

Player Prop Bet Odds Key Points
Justin Herbert Under 0.5 Interceptions -145 Only 3 interceptions all season; 8 straight road games without a pick.
Kyren Williams Anytime Touchdown +130 14 touchdowns this season; scored in 5 of last 6 games.
C.J. Stroud Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns -110 2+ TDs in 16 of last 17 home games; strong red-zone presence.
Dawson Knox First Touchdown Scorer +3000 Scored first TD in each of last 4 Bills Wild Card games; high upside.
Mike Evans Over 68.5 Receiving Yards -190 1,004 yards this season; topped 68 yards in 7 straight games.

Justin Herbert Under 0.5 Interceptions (Chargers vs. Texans)

  • Player Prop Odds: -145

Justin Herbert has been nothing less than a model of efficiency and we don’t think he gets enough attention.

He’s thrown only 3 interceptions all season. Even more impressive, he’s gone an insane 8 straight road games without a single pick.

Sure, the Texans’ defense has been fairly opportunistic with their 19 interceptions on the season, but Herbert’s quick decision-making and ability to avoid mistakes give this play some really good value, even if it’s not the best odds of the bunch.

With the Chargers’ offense operating at the highest level we’ve seen all year, we expect Herbert to keep the ball out of harm’s way.

Kyren Williams Anytime Touchdown (Rams vs. Vikings)

  • Player Prop Odds: +130

Who doesn’t love a good anytime touchdown prop bet?  Well, this is a solid one for the Rams vs Vikings NFC Wild Card matchup.

Kyren Williams has been the engine of the Rams’ rushing attack. He’s scored 14 touchdowns this season and not slowing down heading into the Wild Card weekend.

He’s found the end zone in 5 of his last 6 games and has proven to be a reliable option near the goal line.

To top that off, the Vikings’ defense has struggled against the run at times, and Williams’ ability to break tackles makes him a strong candidate to punch one in for some short yardage. He’s a monster when it comes to the goalline.

At plus money, this is just too good to pass up for a player who’s been a consistent red-zone threat.

C.J. Stroud Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (Texans vs. Chargers)

  • Player Prop Odds: -110

C.J. Stroud has been solid in his second year under center for the Texans, though, not as good as last year. That hasn’t stopped him from throwing for 20 touchdowns this season.

While his stats aren’t as flashy as last year, he’s been fairly effective in the red zone — especially at home.

Stroud has thrown 2+ TDs in 16 of his last 17 home games, making this a prop we can’t skip out on.

Against a Chargers secondary that has given up big chunk plays all season, Stroud should have plenty of opportunities to hit his playmakers for scores.

Dawson Knox First Touchdown Scorer (Bills vs. Broncos)

  • Player Prop Odds: +3000

Sometimes, you just need to shoot for the moon. 

This is a long shot, but hear us out before you turn this one down.

Dawson Knox has a knack for showing up in key moments. We’ve all seen him do his thing on the field. This includes scoring the 1st TD in each of the Bills’ last 4 Wild Card games. We get it; that’s an odd stat, but it’s true. It’s just something he does.

To take that to the next level, Josh Allen loves to target Knox in the red zone, particularly in playoff games when defenses focus on the Bills’ primary weapons, which Knox is not.

At +3000, this prop has an insanely huge upside for a player with a history of coming through in clutch situations. You don’t even have to go big with a bet on this to walk away with a huge bankroll.

Mike Evans Over 68.5 Receiving Yards (Buccaneers vs. Commanders)

  • Player Prop Odds: -190

As we come back down for some air, this is an NFL player prop bet that you won’t want to pass up.

Mike Evans has been a consistent force for the Buccaneers all season (when healthy). He’s topped 68 yards in each of his last 7 games and just getting warmed up after getting back on the field.

With 1,004 receiving yards this season, he’s undeniably Baker Mayfield’s go-to weapon, especially on deep balls for chunk plays.

The best part is that the Commanders’ secondary has been vulnerable to big plays, which aligns perfectly with Evans’ skill set. 

Though the juice is really high at -190, the consistency and matchup make this prop worth backing for some easy money.

These Are the Best NFL Player Prop Bets for Wild Card Weekend

These player prop picks offer a good mix of safe plays and high-upside bets to keep things exciting as we kick off the NFL playoffs this weekend.

Whether you’re banking on Justin Herbert’s clean play, Kyren Williams’ nose for finding the end zone, or even Mike Evans’ steady production, there’s plenty of value across the board. Sprinkle in a long shot like Dawson Knox for even more added excitement, and you’re set for a profitable Wild Card Weekend.

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Matt Brown


Head of Sports Betting and DFS

Matt’s love for sports betting and daily fantasy sports, coupled with a deep understanding of football, hockey, and baseball, shapes his innovative thoughts on Hello Rookie. He has a B.S. in Aeronautical Computer Science and a M.S. in Project Management.