4 Best Underdog Fantasy Picks for UFC 313: Winners Edition

UFC 313 is all set to deliver fireworks tomorrow night, and we’ve got the best Underdog Fantasy picks to lock in before the fights start. With Alex Pereira defending his light heavyweight title against Magomed Ankalaev, Rafael Fiziev looking for redemption against Justin Gaethje, Amanda Lemos in action, and Mauricio Ruffy trying to make a statement, there are some solid betting opportunities. With so much on the line for this fight card, we’re only picking winners for this one. 

We’ve analyzed the stats and compared the fighters and recent performances to bring you 4 of the best higher/lower picks to play on Underdog Fantasy for UFC 313. It’s time to catch the action and cash in.

Alex Pereira — Higher Than 0.5 Knockouts

• Pick ‘em Payout: 1.19x

It’s no secret that Alex Pereira is one of the most dangerous strikers in MMA and despite what they say, every fighter fears him.

The reigning UFC Light Heavyweight Champion has one of the cleanest records in the game with 10 career knockouts in 12 wins, and he’s coming off a string of brutal KOs, including his 1st round finish of Jamahal Hill at UFC 300.

On the other side of the octagon, Magomed Ankalaev is a tough wrestler, but he’s not what we’d consider untouchable. Ankalaev has never been knocked out, of course, but he hasn’t faced someone with Pereira’s level of striking power either. As we say, there’s a first for everything.

If Pereira can keep the fight standing with his strikes, it’s just a matter of time before his legendary left hook finds the target and drops him to the mat.

With a decent 1.19x payout for a KO, backing Poatan to end this fight with his fists is one of the strongest picks of the night.

Rafael Fiziev — Higher Than 0.5 Finishes

• Pick ‘em Payout: 1.29x

Rafael Fiziev is known for his fast-paced striking and devastating Muay Thai. It’s truly something to watch.

In fact, 8 of his 12 career wins have come by knockout. He nearly put Justin Gaethje away in their first fight before dropping a decision. Sometimes, these fights go the distance, but this one won’t.

Gaethje is durable, but he’s also been finished 3 times in his UFC career. With Fiziev eager to bounce back after a knee injury and Gaethje always willing to engage in a brawl, we feel that this fight has a “highlight-reel finish” written all over it and we’re going to see Gaethje sees the mat someway, somehow.

At a 1.29x payout, picking Fiziev to get a KO or submission is what we’d call excellent value. You won’t want to miss out on this one.

Amanda Lemos — Higher Than 0.5 Knockouts

• Pick ‘em Payout: 3.15x

If you’re looking for a high-risk, high-reward pick, Amanda Lemos getting a KO is one to watch. We would typically stay away from a pick like this, but the payout is just too good and we think she can pull it off. She’s got 8 career knockouts and is one of the hardest hitters in the women’s strawweight division — so getting a KO is not out of the realm of possibilities.

She’s facing Iasmin Lucindo, a talented but inexperienced fighter.

While Lucindo has looked sharp, she hasn’t really faced anyone with Lemos’ level of power. Lemos has stopped elite fighters like Marina Rodriguez and Lívia Renata Souza, and if she lands clean, this could be another early finish with Lucindo seeing stars.

With a whopping 3.15x payout, this is a great high-upside pick for UFC 313.

Mauricio Ruffy — Higher Than 0.5 Submissions

• Pick ‘em Payout: 4.5x

Since we’re on a roll with the big payout multipliers, we couldn’t pass this one up, either.

Mauricio Ruffy is known for his striking, but don’t sleep on his submission game, either. His opponent, King Green, has been vulnerable to grappling-heavy attacks, and Ruffy has the skills to take advantage if the fight hits the mat. Of course, Ruffy is going to go for the KO, but this fight could take to the ground and we’ll see him get the hooks in.

At 4.5x payout, this is the best value pick on the board. If Ruffy finds himself in a scramble, which he could, we’re looking for him to snatch up a submission and cash in big.

Lock In Your UFC 313 Picks

These 4 Underdog Fantasy picks give you the best mix of high-percentage plays and big payouts for UFC 313. If you were to place a $5 entry amount for these 4 picks, you’d walk away with a $500 win. These are some serious plays, but they all make sense.

Whether you’re backing Pereira’s knockout power, Fiziev’s aggressive finishing ability, Lemos’ striking, or Ruffy’s submission potential, there’s plenty of value to be found even if you go after just a couple of these Underdog picks for UFC 313.

Lock them in and catch the fight; it’s going to be one that you won’t want to miss.