Categories: MLB

World Series Game 3 Betting Guide: Our Best Bet for Dodgers vs. Yankees

We are back with another baseball play for you guys! World Series Game 3, and a huge turning point in this series. It’s time for the Yankees to show up or this thing is going to be over quick.

They find themselves down 2-0, Judge can’t find the baseball, and their offense hasn’t found many runs through 2 games. Perhaps home cooking and Walker Buehler could help them find their bats!

Yankees Have Starting Pitching Advantage

It could be tough for some to fade Walker Buehler coming off an impressive showing on the road against the Mets, but I expect him to regress some here. It has been reported that his velocity was down coming into the playoffs, and I do think there is something to that. He currently has an xFIP of 5.18 and xERA of 4.68.

Buehler on the road this season carried a 6.53 ERA, while 4.60 at home. He also allowed a .406 w0BA and a .585 slugging % on the road. If the Yankees are locked in, he could find himself another 6 run inning like he had in the NLDS against the Padres. In high leverage situations this season he has allowed a .333 average and a .460 wOBA.

The Yankees best opportunity is to jump on him early as his 1st time through the order the stats are up across the board, including a 6.21 ERA and .336 average through the 1st time, compared to a 4.09 and a .246 average the second time through. The Yankees found 10 hits in game 1, 5 on starter Flaherty and I think they can replicate that here.

Schmidt Should Keep Dodgers Hitters Guessing

Clarke Schmidt, starting for the Yankees has far better numbers I trust in this spot. Yes, he was much better on the road, and the Yankees might have made a mistake not pitching him in game 2 and saving Rodon for tonight, who is clearly better at home.

The Dodgers have not seen Schmidt and his two top pitches, the cutter and the slider, are two pitches the Dodgers hitters strike out to the most. With men in scoring position, Clark bears down to a .196 allowed average and a .250 on-base %.

In high leverage spots, he allows a .214 average and a .218 wOBA, far steadier than his counterpart tonight. If Aaron Judge could get right and help out Soto and Stanton, the Yankees could put together a few wins.

My Best Bets:

  • Yankees -1 (-110) Fliff or (DK -114)
  • Bonus Bet: Yankees F5 ML (-145) MGM
Top Flight Wagers

Top Flight Wagers provides winning sports information to a wide variety of customers! Just how good are these guys? They're currently up over 113 units in 2025. They can be found on X @TopFlightWagers

Share
Published by
Top Flight Wagers

Recent Posts

Stanley Cup Final 2025 Preview — Oilers vs Panthers Prediction

It’s a revenge tour for the Oilers and a repeat bid for the Panthers. Two…

18 hours ago

UFC Fight Night Predictions: 4 Best Bets for Saturday, May 31

With UFC 316 just around the corner, MMA’s premier organization will provide fans with a…

4 days ago

Knicks at Pacers Predictions: 3 Player Props for Game 6 on May 31

After an inspiring Game 5 victory back at Madison Square Garden, New York will need…

4 days ago

White Sox vs Orioles Prediction, Odds, and Best Bet: Fade the Pitching, Back the Bats

Two last-place teams face off in Baltimore, but only one has a pitcher trending in…

4 days ago

Pacers vs Knicks Predictions: 3 Player Props for Game 5

It is now or never for the new-look New York Knicks as they trail Indiana…

5 days ago

Oilers vs Stars Game 5 Prediction, Odds, and Our Best Bet

The Oilers have flipped the series on its head and now sit one win away…

5 days ago

This website uses cookies.