The Edmonton Oilers head to Madison Square Garden tonight to face off against the New York Rangers in a non-conference battle that has the makings of a fast-paced, very tight game. Edmonton has played just twice through the first week, while the Rangers come into this one already 4 games deep on the season and showing signs of both brilliance and inconsistency.
Of course, it’s still early, but the Oilers look sharper and more efficient. And with a more rested group and undeniably elite firepower, they’ve got a solid shot to take control of this matchup, and the bookmakers agree with us on that.
Team | Puck Line | Total | Moneyline |
---|---|---|---|
Oilers | −1.5 +185 | O 5.5 −130 | −135 |
Rangers | +1.5 −225 | U 5.5 +110 | +114 |
Puck drop is set for 7:00 PM ET in New York. Edmonton enters the game as the slight road favorite on the moneyline at -135, while New York sits at +114 as the home dog. The puck line has Edmonton -1.5 at +185, while the Rangers are +1.5 at -225. The over/under is set at 5.5, with the over priced at -130 and the under at +110.
The bookmakers are clearly respecting Edmonton’s talent and rest advantage, even with New York on their home ice. The tight line tells you oddsmakers see this as a coin flip on paper — but there are angles that suggest otherwise — especially with the over favored.
Despite just a small 2-game sample, the Oilers are generating pressure in all the right areas, and everyone expected this coming into the season opener. They’re averaging 3 GPG, allowing just 2, and firing 36 shots per game — second-best in the NHL so far. Their power play is clicking at a respectable 22.2%, and their PK unit is working at 83.3%, both solid early indicators that their special teams are in sync.
The Rangers are 2-2 through 4 games, but it’s been somewhat of a rollercoaster. They’ve already been shut out twice — including a frustrating 1-0 loss to Washington on Saturday. However, when they do score, it comes in bunches — as seen in their 6-1 win over Pittsburgh and a 4-0 shutout of Buffalo. Their shooting percentage is just .081, which is good for 28th in the league, which highlights just how inefficient they’ve been in finishing chances. They are generating plenty of shots, but quality has been lacking.
New York’s power play sits at 18.2%, obviously well below league average, while their penalty kill has been perfect so far at 100% — an impressive number, but one that’s hard to sustain long-term beyond just 4 games. Edmonton’s more balanced special teams give them the edge in tight situations.
Leon Draisaitl leads the way for Edmonton with 3 points, spanning 2 goals and 1 assist in just 2 games. He’s been efficient and dangerous every time he’s on the ice, picking up where he left off last season. Connor McDavid, as expected, is also generating chances, with 3 assists and a strong +2 rating. Edmonton’s top line is already buzzing and looking sharp.
For New York, Adam Fox has been the standout where he’s registered 4 points across 3 goals, 1 assist, and 11 shots. He’s been doing a little of everything and is driving offense from the back end. Sam Carrick and Artemi Panarin have also shown flashes, but New York’s offense has been uneven at best.
Edmonton has played just twice so far, beating Vancouver 3-1 and falling to Calgary 4-3 in a shootout. That’s a light early-season workload, and it shows — they looked fresh and in control against the Canucks.
New York has already logged 4 games in 6 nights. They shut out Buffalo 4-0 and crushed Pittsburgh 6-1, but they’ve also been shut out by Washington and Pittsburgh. That kind of volatility suggests that while the Rangers have talent, consistency remains an issue, and they’re getting winded early in the season. The quick turnaround and emotional highs and lows of those games could catch up to them against one of the best teams in the NHL.
Another major concern for New York is penalty minutes. They’ve taken 22 so far, while Edmonton has just 14. If the Oilers get power play chances, they’ll capitalize, and you can bet that New York’s penalty kill won’t keep running at 100% forever.
The Rangers may be at home, which for the most part would give quite an edge to an NHL team, but they look a step slow and too reliant on streaky scoring. Edmonton, on the other hand, has looked sharper with fewer mistakes, better puck control, and more firepower up front. Their ability to limit high-danger chances, along with a smoother power play, gives them the edge in tonight’s showdown.
We expect a close game, but Edmonton’s stars should be the difference. Draisaitl and McDavid are both involved early, and if the Oilers get enough power-play time, they should walk out of MSG with 2 points.
The Oilers are rested, their top line is producing, and they’re facing a Rangers squad that’s shown cracks against quality teams. We’re going to play this a little safer with a moneyline bet because the Rangers have been known to throw up some streaky goals. Lay the modest price on the Oilers to win outright, and for extra value on a prop bet, look at Draisaitl to stay hot with another multi-point night.
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