NFL Week 16: 4 Player Prop Bets for Christmas Eve

The holiday season has delivered an early present to football fans in the form of an NFL Sunday’s worth of games taking place this Saturday instead. 11 of the 16 games this week will take place on December 24.

Some of the potential NFC playoff matchups include the Philadelphia Eagles and Dallas Cowboys, the Washington Commanders playing the 49ers in San Francisco, and the New York Giants facing the Minnesota Vikings.

In preparation for all the Christmas Eve festivities, we’ve gift-wrapped a batch of player prop best bets for Saturday’s action that bettors can unwrap just ahead.

Justin Fields UNDER 74.5 Rushing Yards

Best Available Odds: +104 at Caesars

Fields has been a nightmare for opposing defenses in his last eight games as a runner. Despite the Bears’ poor record in that stretch, Fields has run for 806 yards and no fewer than 60 yards rushing in any game during this midseason run.

We expect this recent form has inflated his rushing total again against a defense that will be itching to not only stop Fields but make him hesitant to run by hitting him hard when he does.

Lamar Jackson ran for 73 yards on 11 carries against Buffalo in Week 4 by comparison, but only Miami has cracked the 100-yard rushing mark against the Bills in the last five weeks.

Buffalo and their 6th-ranked run defense will at least moderately contain Fields on Saturday.

Miles Sanders Anytime Touchdown Scorer

Best Available Odds: +118 at Caesars

Sanders has already played more games this year than any season since his rookie year in 2019 and has set a career-high in rushing touchdowns with 11 in 14 games. That number could be significantly higher if not for Jalen Hurts’ 13 rushing touchdowns, many of which have come on goal-line plunges.

Hurts’ injury means that Gardner Minshew will start for Philadelphia, and the goal line should belong to Sanders. He rushed for 71 yards and a touchdown in the Eagles’ Week 6 victory over the Cowboys, and we predict he’ll repeat that feat in Week 16.

Derrick Henry OVER 109.5 Rushing Yards

Best Available Odds: -115 at DraftKings 

Henry rumbled for 219 rushing yards and two touchdowns against the Texans when these teams met in Houston at the end of October, and this situation is lined up for a similar result in December.

Houston still has the worst rush defense in the NFL and has allowed an average of 149 rushing yards per game since Henry ran through them in Week 8.

Henry has been allowed to practice in a limited capacity this week to rest for the end-of-season push, and we expect him to be fresh for the rematch between these two teams. Play the over on his rushing total Saturday as Tennessee looks to stay atop the AFC South.

Joe Burrow UNDER 259.5 Passing Yards

Best Available Odds: -115 at DraftKings

Cincinnati enters Week 16 as winners of their last six games and eight of nine dating back to mid-October. Burrow is 4th in the league while averaging 277.5 passing yards per game and will face the Patriots for the first time in his career on Saturday.

New England is a top-ten defense this season and has held six of their last eight opponents to less than 225 yards passing in their pursuit of a Wild Card spot. In the last three weeks against the Bills, Cardinals, and Raiders, the Pats allowed 215 passing yards per game.

They’ll be playing with their backs against the wall after a backbreaking loss to Las Vegas last week, and we project they’ll hold Burrow in check despite a streak of strong performances entering this matchup.