Get locked and loaded for Week 9 of college football by diving into our betting guide. Our betting insider has 4 best bets for October 25. Good luck with all of your wagers this weekend, folks.
The Missouri Tigers will take their #15 ranking and 6-1 mark into Nashville this Saturday to take on the #10-ranked Vanderbilt Commodores. Missouri bounced back nicely last week with a 23-17 win on the road at Auburn. The win was impressive as they fought back from a 17-10 deficit late in the 4th quarter. This was promising to the Tiger faithful after seeing the team drop their 1st loss the week before at home to Alabama 27-24. In the win, the Tigers converted on 8 of their 17 third-down conversion attempts. Beau Pribula threw for 252 yards but was picked off twice while not throwing a touchdown. He did add 28 yards on the ground and scored with his legs as well. The defense was in a bend but do not break mentality as they allowed over 355 total yards but held Auburn to just 3 scoring drives on the day.
Much like Missouri, the Commodores’ only loss of the season came against the Crimson Tide. After that loss, Vandy used its bye week to prep for its matchup last week against LSU. Diego Pavia was relentless in the win. He only threw for 160 yards, but rushed for 86 and accounted for 3 of the team’s 4 touchdowns. As a team, Vandy rushed for almost 240 yards and held LSU to 100 total rushing yards. A successful run game has been consistent in all of Vandy’s wins this season, and they will look to establish the run game early and often here at home against Missouri.
Vandy is coming off an enormous win last week, while the Tigers are heading into back-to-back games against Top 10 opponents. Vandy’s path to victory has been the run game all season, and they are going to have trouble against this Tiger defense that held Bama to just 125 in their loss. For Missouri, Pribula has been struggling lately, and turnovers are becoming an issue. We believe that both defenses are going to outplay the offenses and keep this game under the total in what should be a close game throughout.
One of the top games of the day on Saturday will feature #13 Oklahoma hosting #8 Ole Miss. The Rebels took their 1st loss of the season last week in a hard-fought game in Georgia. In the loss, Ole Miss was held to just 88 yards on the ground and allowed over 220 yards on the ground to the Bulldogs. Georgia overwhelmed the Rebels and racked up over 500 total yards while posting 43 points on the scoreboard. Trinidad Chambliss struggled passing and finished with a completion percentage near 50 on the day. It may not be time to ring the alarm in Oxford yet, but after a near loss to inferior Washington State, followed by this tough loss to Georgia, a loss here to Oklahoma could be a serious cause for concern.
The Sooners dominated the 2nd half of their game last week against South Carolina. After leading 14-7 at the half, the Sooners shut out the Gamecocks 12-0 in the 2nd half. It was not a flashy win, as the Sooners put up just over 300 total yards. However, the defense was impressive and held South Carolina to just 54 yards on the ground and forced 2 turnovers in the win. This win came after a loss to Texas the week before, where John Mateer finished one of his worst starts. The 3 interceptions against Texas caused many to believe that he came back to quickly from his injury. Last week, he looked more comfortable and should be in a much better position to face the visiting Rebels this week.
The Oklahoma defense is arguably the most underrated defense in the SEC. They allowed 23 points to Texas, which was their most points allowed, and that came due in part to 3 turnovers, and a punt return for a TD. Outside of that, the Sooners are allowing just over 7 points per game in their 6 wins this season. With the total being at 54, which is the 2nd lowest total for an Ole Miss game this season, we believe the Sooners are going to come out victorious and do so with their superior defense.
The Texas A&M Aggies have had the quietest rise to the #3 position in quite some time. They are 7-0 on the season and have been scoring at a 36.1 points per game clip. QB, Marcel Reed has been averaging over 250 yards passing per game and tossed 15 touchdowns to just 4 interceptions. On the ground, he has added 35 yards per game and an additional 4 touchdowns. The defense has been up and down all year. There have been games where they allowed 40 or more on two occasions while they have held teams to 10 or less in another two. In all four games, the Aggies have come out on top and may just be the type of team that finds ways to win no matter how the game is going.
The Tigers are coming off their 2nd loss on the season and now have many questioning Brian Kelly’s ability to ever lead this program to the promise land. I have been a non-believer from the beginning, and this 5-2 start has come as no surprise. The scary thing for LSU is that they not only have #3 Texas A&M this week, but they also still have road games against Alabama and Oklahoma this season. A loss here could send the team spiraling for the rest of the season. In both losses, the offense was held in check, particularly the run game. If they are plan on turning the season around, they are going to need to efficient on offense here against the visiting Aggies.
So, the undefeated Aggies at 7-0 are just a slight favorite here on the road against a 2 loss LSU team that has shown that they cannot defeat ranked teams. However, have the Aggies truly earned this #3 ranking? We do not believe so. Sure, they are 7-0, but their best win came against Notre Dame in a game they should have lost. We do not buy the hype of the Aggies and believe LSU will get one back here at home before taking another loss or 2 at the end of their season.
#11 BYU is undefeated and coming off a huge win last week against rival Utah in the holy war 24-21. The Cougars have been excelling on both sides of the ball and are ranked 45th in scoring offense (35.6ppg) and 20th in scoring defense (15.57ppg). Bear Bachmeier has been the do-it-all QB for the Cougars and has accounted for 17 of the team’s 28 total touchdowns. His ability to use his arm and legs to confuse defenses has help BYU to this point, but most of all it has been his ability to limit turnovers to just 3 on the year. Now they face the Cyclones before facing a couple of top 25 opponents later in their season. They will need to keep their eyes on the opponent at hand and avoid looking ahead.
Iowa State has been struggling lately. After going 5-0 to start the season, the Cyclones have dropped their last 2 to Cincinnati and Colorado. In the losses, the Cyclones went a combined 6-29 on 3rd downs. Their inability to keep the chains moving combined with a defense that allowed almost 400 yards in each loss, the Cyclones need to figure things out fast before they see their losing streak get extended. Rocco Becht, while accumulating a good number of yards, has not been very accurate. This 2-game stretch has been the worst of the season and he completed just 58.5% of his passes. He will need to be better than that here against the visiting Cougars.
This spread makes no sense. We are getting the 5-2 Cyclones as nearly a field goal favorite against the undefeated Cougars. While we normally would jump all over the Cyclones, we do have some pause after seeing over 70% of tickets coming in on the Cyclones. We are going to buy this number up to over a field goal and back the rolling Cougars in this odd matchup.
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