It’s starting to get chilly in the Mile High as the 7-5 Broncos look to stay in the AFC playoff picture as they host the 3-8 Cleveland Browns.
Bo Nix has the Broncos sitting at 7-5 in the AFC West and in 7th place in the AFC playoff picture, just sneaking into the conversation. Sean Payton has truly found a winning formula in Nix, who has beat teams through the air and on the ground.
Facing a Browns team that gives up the most YPG on the ground to opposing Quarterbacks (37 yards on 6.5 attempts per game), Bo has a chance to run wild at home in the Mile High.
Although becoming more of a passer these last three weeks with 8 TD passes and just 10 total rush yards, the fair weather in Denver along with the consistent Browns rush pressure should allow Bo to get outside of the pocket and pick up a handful of first downs.
Our favorite receiving bet of the game, David Njoku is coming off a brutal snow game against Pittsburgh where the Browns won, but Njoku missed some crucial catches.
After securing a huge two-point conversion after dropping a wide-open touchdown, my hopes are high moving into this week for the Browns tight end who is known to come alive towards the end of regular seasons.
Njoku has gone for 60+ yards in three of his last five games and has developed a great chemistry with Winston at QB.
With all the Browns offensive weapons back and healthy, I’m taking the under once again on Jerome Ford. Ultimately, Ford’s four to eight touches won’t be enough to meet this mark against a Denver defense allowing just 3.8 YPA on the ground to running backs.
7/39/27 are Ford’s yard totals since returning from injury in Week 9. Against this tough Broncos defense that won’t give Chubb nor Ford anything easy, I’m taking this under.
Elijah Moore is the odd man out in the Cleveland receiving core this week with Jerry Jeudy, Cedric Tillman, David Njoku, and Jordan Akins taking up most of the targets.
Moore has been awfully quiet against top tier defensive units this season, failing to reach the 30-yard mark against Philly, the Chargers, and the Steelers. He’ll go up against a Broncos defense allowing just 132.5 YPG to the wideout position alongside a fantastic red zone defense. Moore is the odd man out in this game for the Cleveland offense.
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