Categories: MMA

UFC 329 Live Stream Guide and Full Main Card Predictions: McGregor vs Holloway 2

Conor McGregor is finally back. Five years and one day after he broke his leg against Dustin Poirier at T-Mobile Arena, “The Notorious” returns to that exact same octagon for UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, a rematch of their 2013 featherweight bout that’s now happening at welterweight, over five rounds, with McGregor as a betting underdog for just the second time in his UFC career. The card runs Saturday, July 11, 2026 in Las Vegas, and it’s stacked with enough intrigue below the main event to make this one of the year’s most bettable nights of fighting.

How to Watch UFC 329

UFC 329 streams exclusively on Paramount+ — there’s no separate pay-per-view charge in the United States anymore, and no cable simulcast on CBS. Early prelims kick off at 5 p.m. ET / 2 p.m. PT, prelims follow at 7 p.m. ET / 4 p.m. PT, and the main card gets underway at 9 p.m. ET / 6 p.m. PT from T-Mobile Arena.

Both Paramount+ tiers include the full card, so there’s no need to spring for the pricier plan just to catch the fights. The Essential plan runs about $8.99 a month with ads, while Premium runs about $13.99 a month ad-free and adds local CBS access. Sign in through the Paramount+ app on a smart TV, streaming stick, phone, or browser, and the entire night — early prelims through McGregor’s walkout — plays in one place with no extra fees. It’s also available on demand shortly after each fight wraps, in case work or family obligations pull you away from the couch.

Full Main Card Predictions

Here’s a pick for every fight on the main card, with the reasoning behind each one.

Max Holloway (-240) vs. Conor McGregor (+180), Welterweight — Holloway hasn’t lost by anything other than decision since his 2024 knockout loss to Ilia Topuria, and he’s coming off two lightweight wars against Charles Oliveira and Dustin Poirier that showed his chin and cardio remain elite even at 34. McGregor, by contrast, hasn’t fought in five years, has won just once in his last four appearances dating back a decade, and is moving up in weight for a five-round fight against a much busier opponent. The layoff and ring rust are simply too significant to ignore. Pick: Holloway by decision.

Benoit Saint Denis (-150) vs. Paddy Pimblett (+130), Lightweight — Saint Denis brings elite volume wrestling and a 100% finish rate across his UFC wins, while Pimblett’s takedown defense sits in the low 40s — a real vulnerability against a fighter who averages over four takedowns per fifteen minutes. Pimblett proved his durability going 25 rounds with Justin Gaethje, but durability doesn’t solve a grappling deficit this pronounced. Pick: Saint Denis by decision.

Cory Sandhagen (-145) vs. Mario Bautista (+125), Bantamweight — Sandhagen has only really lost to the elite of the division, but his recent form includes a decision loss to Merab Dvalishvili and a split-decision loss to Umar Nurmagomedov. Bautista, meanwhile, is riding real momentum with wins over Patchy Mix and Jose Aldo sandwiched around his lone recent loss to Nurmagomedov, and he owns a submission-heavy finishing profile that plays well against a durable but sometimes hittable Sandhagen. Pick: Bautista by decision.

Lone’er Kavanagh (-225) vs. Brandon Royval (+190), Flyweight — Kavanagh is coming off arguably the best win of his career, a five-round decision over former champion Brandon Moreno, and he’s proven he can grapple and strike at a high level across 25 minutes. Royval is durable and always dangerous, but stepping up to face a fighter fresh off that kind of statement win is a tough spot. Pick: Kavanagh by decision.

King Green (+105) vs. Terrance McKinney (-135), Lightweight — McKinney is one of the most explosive finishers in the lightweight division, and this fight carries real finish equity early given how often McKinney’s fights end inside the first round. Green is a savvy veteran who can survive early storms, but McKinney’s speed and power make him the play here. Pick: McKinney by first-round finish.

Best Overall Bet

The safest angle on this card is Max Holloway by decision. He’s fought five rounds in each of his last two appearances, has never been finished by anything but knockout in 36 professional fights, and steps in against a returning fighter who hasn’t competed since 2021. Betting against ring rust of that magnitude, especially in a five-round main event, is a tough ask — Holloway’s volume and durability make him the play to build a UFC 329 parlay around, whether that’s straight moneyline or combined with something like a DraftKings promo code for extra value on the night.

Rounding Out the Rest of the Card

Beyond the five headline bouts, the prelims feature a light heavyweight clash between Robert Whittaker and Nikita Krylov, plus Olympic wrestler Gable Steveson taking on Elisha Ellison in the heavyweight division. If you’re new to tracking these lines throughout the week, checking live UFC odds is the easiest way to see how the market moves as fight night approaches, and pairing that with a look at the full sportsbook promotions page can help line up a same-game parlay across the entire card.

For bettors who want to shop lines across multiple books before locking in a wager, comparing offers side by side often pays off more than sticking with a single app all night. Reviewing something like the FanDuel promo code alongside a BetMGM promo code gives you two different markets on McGregor-Holloway and the co-main, which matters given how much movement we’ve already seen on that main event line over the past month. And if the card runs long — which it very well might with five scheduled five-round fights on the docket — having a mobile-friendly app ready via the betting calculator makes it easy to double-check payouts on any live bets you consider adding as the night unfolds.

Whatever happens with McGregor’s return, UFC 329 has the depth to deliver one of the best top-to-bottom cards of the year, and Saturday night in Las Vegas should be appointment viewing from the first early prelim to the final horn of the main event.

Mitchell LeBrun

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Mitchell LeBrun

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