Avalanche vs. Flyers Same-Game Parlay: A Beginner-Friendly NHL SGP for Monday Night

The Colorado Avalanche (5-2-1) head to Xfinity Mobile Arena on Monday night to face a Philadelphia Flyers team (1-6-3) that only just found its first win of the season on Saturday against Ottawa. Puck drop is 7:00 p.m. ET, and Colorado is a heavy favorite at roughly -208 to -225 on the moneyline, with the total sitting at 6.5 goals. If you are new to same-game parlays, this matchup makes a good teaching example because the story is easy to follow.

A same-game parlay (SGP) simply ties several bets from one game into a single wager, and every leg has to hit for the ticket to cash. Today’s three-leg build is Avalanche moneyline, Nathan MacKinnon over 3.5 shots on goal, and Under 6.5 total goals. Odds move through the day, so always check the price at your own sportsbook before you place anything.

Leg 1: Avalanche to Win the Game

This is the simplest leg to understand. You are just picking the team you think wins. Colorado is 5-2-1, has a plus-12 goal differential, and four of its five wins have come by multiple goals. The Avalanche also just beat Pittsburgh 5-2 on Friday, with Artturi Lehkonen scoring twice for his second multi-goal game of the young season.

Philadelphia, meanwhile, started 0-6-3 and had not scored more than two goals in a game until an empty-netter sealed Saturday’s 3-1 win. The Flyers are also banged up. Travis Konecny is out, and Tyson Foerster, Sean Couturier and Owen Tippett were listed as game-time decisions. The tradeoff is the price. At around -208 or higher, this leg pays very little on its own, which is exactly why bettors bundle it with other legs. Our betting calculator is a handy way to see how a short price changes a parlay payout.

Leg 2: Nathan MacKinnon Over 3.5 Shots on Goal

A shots-on-goal prop asks whether a player will put a certain number of pucks on net. It is one of the friendlier props for beginners because the player does not need to score. MacKinnon has 16 points (six goals, 10 assists) through eight games, and he fired nine shots on goal in Friday’s win over the Penguins. He has 38 shots on the season.

The matchup helps too. Philadelphia ranks last in shots allowed and gives up 7.4 shots per game to opposing centers. The line on MacKinnon is 3.5 at about -130, which means you risk $130 to win $100. A volume shooter against a defense that allows a lot of shots is a sensible pairing.

Leg 3: Under 6.5 Total Goals

The total is the combined goals from both teams. Under 6.5 means the final score adds up to six or fewer. It might sound odd to pair that with a Colorado win, but a 4-1 or 4-2 Avalanche victory fits both legs comfortably. Dimers’ model also rated the Flyers +1.5 and the Under as positive expected value, so the Under leans our way.

Philadelphia is averaging just 1.4 goals per game, and the Under is 7-0-2 in the Flyers’ last nine games as a home underdog. The risk is Colorado’s offense. The Avalanche scored seven against Calgary and five against Pittsburgh recently, so a blowout would bust this leg. That is the honest tension in this parlay, and it is worth understanding before you bet.

The Full Parlay

Put it together and you have Avalanche moneyline, MacKinnon over 3.5 shots, and Under 6.5 goals. The story is a controlled Colorado win, with MacKinnon doing plenty of shooting, against a Flyers offense that has struggled to score. Combined odds vary by book, but stacking a heavy favorite with a shots prop and a total will land at a plus-money price at most sportsbooks. Check the exact number in your app before betting.

If you want more upside, Martin Necas to score anytime is listed around +200 to +220, but adding it makes the parlay harder to hit. Start small, keep the stake to money you can afford to lose, and read our responsible gambling page if you ever need support. You can compare prices across books using our live NHL odds page.