NBA Finals: 3 Underdog Props for Game 3
The Miami Heat evened up the series at 1-1 on Sunday night with a 111-108 road upset over the Denver Nuggets. Nikola Jokic did his part by scoring 41 points, but his supporting cast didn’t give him much help. Now the series heads to South Beach, where the Heat were 27-14 during the regular season.
Ready for tonight’s NBA Finals game? We’ll give you the info you need! Here are 3 Underdog Props for Game 3 between the Nuggets and Heat.
Bruce Brown OVER 4 Rebounds
This is probably our favorite player prop on the board for Game 3. Brown is only 6-4, but he rebounds the ball exceptionally well for a shooting guard. During the regular season, Brown averaged 4.1 rebounds per game.
The former Miami Hurricane has gone over this total in 6 of his last 8 ball games. On one of those occasions, he finished with exactly 4 rebounds. You can see why we think there’s a lot of value in this Over.
You can bet that Miami will be jacking up plenty of three-pointers in Game 3. That should mean plenty of rebounding opportunities for Brown and the other Nuggets guards.
Aaron Gordon UNDER 0.5 Steals
We don’t play a lot of steals props because they’re so volatile, but we’re making an exception in this case. Gordon has stayed under this total number of steals in 9 of his last 11 outings.
The former Arizona Wildcat is a 6-8 power forward that just isn’t that focused on creating turnovers. He does get a few blocks from time to time, but he shouldn’t get many opportunities to steal the ball against a Heat team that ranks 5th in turnovers per game.
Want to hear another crazy trend? Gordon hasn’t gotten a steal in 8 straight games! That’s the kind of trend that we like to back.
Gabe Vincent UNDER 1.5 Turnovers
We’ve already mentioned how Miami doesn’t turn the ball over much. Also, Denver only ranks 23rd in the NBA at creating turnovers. Both of those facts are a big reason why we like Vincent to stay Under 1.5 turnovers.
Vincent, a former UC-Santa Barbara standout, has stayed under this turnover number in 7 of his last 8 games. He averaged 1.4 turnovers per game during the regular season, which is also a small edge in favor of the Under.
Vincent has also been playing much more under control of late. In 23 games during the regular season after the All-Star break, he only turned the ball over 25 times. That’s enough proof in the pudding for us to take the Under! Good luck!
Senior Sports Betting Contributor
Mike Noblin is a seasoned handicapper and the lead sports betting author at Hello Rookie. Mike has been involved with the industry for two decades, and has worked as a full time analyst and writer for the past three years. He covers a wide variety of sports, including the NFL, College Football, NBA, College Basketball, and MLB.