Jonathan Taylor Trade Market Cools as Giants Back Away From Colts’ Asking Price Before Deadline

The market for Indianapolis Colts running back Jonathan Taylor got a lot quieter on Sunday. Multiple reports say the New York Giants have cooled on a trade for the 27-year-old because of the price, leaving the Colts without a bidder close to their asking number two days before the NFL trade deadline on Tuesday, Nov. 10 at 4 p.m. ET.

The Giants had been viewed as one of the front-runners all week. Insider Josina Anderson wrote that New York “cooled on acquiring Colts RB Jonathan Taylor because of price” and had “resolved to move on a while ago” heading into Sunday’s game against the Eagles. Jay Glazer separately reported that the Giants had offered a second-round pick and a fifth-round pick, but that the offer has since been pulled.

Why the Giants Walked Away From the Colts’ Price

The gap between the two sides appears to be wide. Tom Pelissero reported Saturday that the Giants put two picks on the table, with a 2027 second-rounder as the better of the two, and that it did not come close to what Indianapolis wants. Adam Schefter and Ian Rapoport reported the Colts are seeking a “Christian McCaffrey-style compensation package.” When the 49ers acquired McCaffrey from Carolina in October 2022, they sent a second, third, fourth and fifth-round pick.

The Colts have also shown little urgency. Taylor signed a two-year, $44 million extension in August and is under contract through 2028. Pelissero wrote that “the most likely outcome for Taylor is … staying in Indianapolis,” noting that a 27-year-old back with that contract could hold just as much trade value in March, when a new general manager will be in place.

Price is only part of the picture for New York. The Giants entered the weekend 4-2-1 and in first place in the NFC East, even after losing Jaxson Dart for the season, and they had been searching for a lead back with Tyrone Tracy on injured reserve and Cam Skattebo struggling with fumbles. Taylor would have slotted in as the immediate RB1. Instead, the Giants appear ready to look elsewhere on the trade market for a running back.

Taylor’s Season and the Colts’ Position

Taylor remains productive on a team that has not been. Through eight games he has 148 carries for 610 rushing yards and eight touchdowns, ranking among the top running backs in PPR scoring at roughly 18 points per game. He ran for more than 1,400 yards in both 2024 and 2025 and led the NFL with 18 rushing touchdowns last season.

Indianapolis entered Week 9 at 2-6 and has already traded DeForest Buckner and Quenton Nelson, so the Colts are clearly open to selling. Their Week 9 opponent, Dallas, came in with the league’s 32nd-ranked run defense, a favorable matchup for Taylor on the same day the Giants reports broke. The Colts have also allowed 33 or more points in four of their six losses.

That leaves Minnesota as arguably the most logical remaining suitor, with Denver, Seattle and Green Bay also mentioned in the reporting. None, however, has been reported to be near the Colts’ number.

What the Prediction Markets Say About Where Taylor Lands

The Kalshi “next team” market, which settles on where Taylor is as of Dec. 1, has swung sharply this week. In late October the Colts led at 40%, with the Vikings at 39%. By Nov. 4 the Giants had surged to the top of the board at 31%, while Minnesota had slipped from 43% earlier in the week. One Sunday snapshot had Indianapolis back on top at 39% to keep him, with the Giants at 32%, the Broncos at 9% and the Vikings at 4%. A separate Kalshi tracker updated Sunday afternoon showed Indianapolis at 61%, the Giants at 10%, the Vikings at 8%, the Broncos at 7% and the Texans at 5%.

Those figures vary by source and timing, but the direction is consistent: traders are moving toward Taylor staying put. Each Kalshi contract pays $1 if correct, so a 61-cent price implies roughly a 61% chance. On that tracker, the Giants sit at about 10%, down from the low 30s earlier in the week, which shows how quickly the market reprices when reporting shifts.

There are practical betting takeaways beyond the next-team market. If Taylor stays in Indianapolis, his rushing yardage and touchdown props for the rest of the season keep their current baseline, with the Colts still likely to lean on him while trailing. If he is dealt, the market would suddenly care about his new offensive line and role, and the Giants’ own backfield, from Skattebo to Singletary, would stay as is. Any move before 4 p.m. ET Tuesday would reprice every one of those lines immediately.

For now, the signal from both reporters and traders is the same: unless a team meets a steep, McCaffrey-sized price, Taylor is staying in Indianapolis past the deadline.