Monday’s MLB slate brings a full ten-game main board, and the pitching depth at the top makes this one of the more interesting build days of the summer. With Tarik Skubal anchoring the highest tier and a handful of ace-caliber arms scattered underneath him, cash-game players have real signal to lean on, while the hitter pool still offers plenty of thump for GPP lineups looking to differentiate.
Our approach today blends a top-shelf ace with a rising value arm, then layers in three bats who are producing right now against pitching that should let them keep doing it. These are the five MLB DFS picks we’re building around for both DraftKings and FanDuel today.
Skubal remains the premier arm on the board even after a mid-season move to Los Angeles. Across 17 starts this season he’s sitting on a 2.81 ERA, 0.92 WHIP and a massive 10.7 K/9, numbers that have barely wavered since his days in Detroit. He’s been especially tough on the road, running a 2.15 ERA away from home this year compared to 3.54 at home, and tonight’s start against Kansas City comes on the road at Dodger Stadium against a Royals lineup he’s already carved up once this season.
In his lone start against Kansas City on July 24, Skubal went 7.1 innings, allowed a single run and struck out 12, and he’s carried a four-start stretch of quality outings into August. The Royals rank in the bottom half of the league in production against right-handed and left-handed velocity alike, and Kansas City’s lineup doesn’t offer much thunder outside of Bobby Witt Jr. At his price, Skubal is a strikeout floor play in cash games and a legitimate ceiling piece in tournaments given his swing-and-miss profile.
Henderson has quietly turned into one of the best value arms in baseball. Through 10 starts this season he owns a 2.70 ERA, 0.90 WHIP and an outstanding 11.2 K/9, and he’s won six of his last seven starts while running a 2.19 ERA over that stretch. His most recent outing was a six-inning, eight-strikeout showing against Pittsburgh, and before that a scoreless 5.2-inning turn in San Francisco.
Today he draws San Diego, and while the Padres aren’t a pushover offense, Henderson’s strikeout rate gives him a strong floor regardless of matchup difficulty. Milwaukee’s rotation as a whole owns the second-best team ERA in baseball at 3.48, and Henderson has been the biggest riser in that group. For a pitcher priced south of $10K with a strikeout rate this high, he represents one of the better rate-adjusted plays on the entire slate, and a strong option for lineup-builders looking to pair a premium bat with an ace-priced arm at a discount.
Olson has been on an absolute tear, going deep four times over his last seven games while slashing .308 with a .846 slugging percentage in that span. He’s up to 34 home runs and 72 RBI for the season with an .895 OPS, numbers that rank among the best at the position league-wide, and he’s carried that form directly into Atlanta’s current series against the Mets.
Today’s Truist Park matchup against Christian Scott sets up well. Scott has struggled with the long ball this year, and Atlanta’s lineup as a whole ranks near the top of the league in slugging at home. Olson’s price hasn’t fully caught up to his recent power surge, which makes him a strong pivot away from more expensive first basemen while still offering top-of-the-slate power upside. Stack him with the rest of the Atlanta bats if you’re building around this game.
Schwarber is tied for the National League home run lead and hasn’t cooled off, going 2-for-3 with two homers and three walks in Sunday’s extra-innings win over Toronto. He’s now sitting on 35 home runs, 68 RBI and a .535 slugging percentage for the season, and he’s held at least a share of the NL home run lead for over 90 consecutive days.
Today’s matchup against St. Louis right-hander Hunter Dobbins is exactly the kind of spot that keeps Schwarber in play at a discounted price. Dobbins is running a respectable 3.60 ERA overall, but he’s already allowed six home runs across just 40 innings this season, a rate that stands out against a lineup as power-heavy as Philadelphia’s. Schwarber’s price hasn’t moved much given the recent surge, and pure power bats with a track record like his rarely stay this cheap for long.
Witt remains the engine of Kansas City’s offense and one of the most complete fantasy producers in the sport, sitting at a .284 average with 13 home runs, 42 RBI and 31 stolen bases this season. He’s been especially hot of late, going 8-for-22 with three RBI over his last seven games, and his combination of contact skill and speed gives him a strong floor even in tougher spots.
Tonight’s assignment against Skubal is a legitimate step up in difficulty, and Witt’s price reflects some of that danger, but his stolen-base equity alone keeps his floor higher than most shortstops on the board. If you’re fading Kansas City’s offense as a whole because of the matchup, Witt is the one player worth carving out an exception for, particularly in tournament builds where a stolen base or extra-base hit can separate your lineup from the field.
The clearest path to a strong cash-game lineup today runs through Skubal or Henderson at pitcher, paired with Olson and Schwarber as your power anchors. Both hitters are locked into premium spots in their respective batting orders, and neither price tag has fully caught up to their current form, which is exactly the gap DFS value plays are built to exploit.
For GPP builds, consider pivoting off the Skubal-Dodgers game stack that most of the field will be hammering and instead building around the Braves-Mets total, where Olson and the rest of Atlanta’s lineup carry lower projected ownership relative to their production before you check the latest MLB odds to see how the total has moved since first posting. Witt is a fine piece to roster even in a tough pitching matchup because his stolen-base upside isn’t matchup-dependent the way home run equity is. Whatever combination you land on, keep an eye on salary remaining after locking in your pitcher, since both Skubal and Henderson leave enough room to pay up for at least two of the bats above without needing to punt at another position. Balancing one premium arm with a couple of proven, currently-hot bats remains the most repeatable way to build a cash-game-safe lineup that still has GPP ceiling if the chalk pitchers deliver.
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