2026 NBA Draft Odds: AJ Dybantsa Is -450 to Go First Overall as Washington Wizards Hold the Top Pick

The 2026 NBA Draft is less than a week away, and the betting markets have spoken: AJ Dybantsa is going first to Washington, and it is not particularly close. The BYU forward holds a -450 line to be selected first overall by the Washington Wizards, reflecting a broad consensus among bettors, analysts, and insiders that one of the most anticipated draft prospects in years will hear his name called first on June 23.

Darryn Peterson of Kansas is the only player within striking distance of Dybantsa in the first-pick market, available at +275. Cameron Boozer of Duke is a distant third at +1400. Everyone else is so far down the board that the top-pick market has become largely a two-player race, with Dybantsa as a heavy prohibitive favorite.

Who Is AJ Dybantsa?

Dybantsa entered the season as one of the most highly anticipated freshman scorers in the college game, and he delivered. Playing for BYU in his one season of college basketball, he averaged 25.3 points and 6.7 rebounds per game while shooting 51.3% from the field and earned Wooden Award finalist honors. Standing 6-foot-9 with a 7-foot wingspan, he is described by scouts as the most pro-ready scorer in the class — explosive to the paint, skilled from the mid-range, an elite free-throw getter, and increasingly effective as a playmaker and ball handler.

His path to -450 was not inevitable. At the start of the tracking period, Dybantsa was available at -370, meaning the market has consistently moved in his favor as additional information has emerged and the Wizards’ intentions have become clearer. That three-week tightening from -370 to -450 suggests the intelligence is pointing in one direction.

The Rest of the Top of the Board

Darryn Peterson’s case is built on an entirely different foundation than Dybantsa’s. The Kansas combo guard — 6-foot-5 with elite body control and an extraordinarily methodical scoring approach — is the draft’s best pure scorer according to most evaluations. Head coach Bill Self called Peterson the best recruit he had ever landed at Kansas, no small compliment given Self’s recruiting track record. Peterson dealt with minor hamstring and ankle issues during the season but remains healthy heading into draft night.

Cameron Boozer, the Duke forward and son of former NBA standout Carlos Boozer, brings the highest floor of any player in this draft. He averaged 22.5 points and 10.2 rebounds while shooting 56.5% from the field, won the Wooden Award, and represents the kind of polished, high-production college performer that general managers have historically loved. At +1400 to go first overall, the market is not expecting the Wizards to take him at the top — but he is likely to land among the first three picks.

Caleb Wilson of North Carolina, a physically exceptional 6-foot-10 forward, occupies an interesting position in the market. Rated as possibly the most athletic player in the class, he draws attention for his enormous upside alongside real questions about his finishing and perimeter shooting. A season-ending thumb injury in early March cut short his ability to build his case before the draft, leaving evaluators to project on potential alone. He sits at +5000 to go first.

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Second and Third Pick Markets

The second-pick market sees Peterson as the -170 favorite, with Boozer at +250 and Dybantsa at +400. Should the Wizards deviate from consensus and select anyone other than Dybantsa at one, the market expects Peterson to be the alternative. The third-pick market has Boozer as -200 favorite — reinforcing the narrative that the class top three is essentially Dybantsa-Peterson-Boozer in some order, with only the exact sequence remaining uncertain.

For DFS players building NBA Draft boards, the certainty around the top of the board is helpful — knowing that the top three picks are likely Dybantsa, Peterson, and Boozer allows DFS platforms to build exposure around their likely landing spots for the 2026-27 season. Explore DFS resources at DFS Reviews for tools built around evaluating incoming rookie classes.

Draft night is set for June 23 and 24. With six days to go and Dybantsa’s odds sitting at -450, the market has essentially made its call. The only remaining question is whether Washington confirms the consensus choice or creates a moment that reshapes the entire prediction landscape with a surprise selection.