Monday’s NBA card only has 6 games on it, which is kind of light compared to its usual 9-10 game board. Nevertheless, we’ve dug heavily into this card to find 3 PrizePicks NBA props for Monday, March 6. Good luck with all of your action!
Damian Lillard OVER 36.5 Points
This number is inflated as all get out, but we don’t think it’ll matter. Dame has been playing out of his mind of late, and we don’t mind jumping on board. The former Weber State star is averaging a robust 42.2 points per game over his last 5 outings.
Lillard has also gone over this point total in 6 of his last 8 games. That’s probably why this point total is juiced to -138 and Pinnacle and -135 at Caesars.
The matchup shouldn’t be much of a problem for Lillard tonight, either. The Pistons are a train wreck, especially on the defensive end of the floor. Detroit ranks 29th in points allowed and 27th in defensive efficiency.
Jimmy Butler UNDER 6.5 Rebounds
Fading Jimmy Buckets isn’t usually too good of an idea. However, we think this number is at least a smidge too high. Butler is only averaging 6 rebounds per game this season, which is probably why Unibet is juicing the Under at -148.
The former Marquette standout has played Atlanta 32 times in his career. He’s grabbed 6 boards or less in 21 of those games. That’s a pretty strong trend in our favor.
Butler’s yearly numbers also favor an Under. He’s played in 50 games this season and stayed under this rebounding total in 30 of them. Anytime we can back a 60% trend, we’re going to do so.
Max Strus OVER 1.5 Made Three-Pointers
We’re not going to lie. We thought this number was a misprint over at PrizePicks when we first saw it. It doesn’t make a lick of sense, especially because Strus is averaging 2.5 made three-pointers per game this season. It makes you wonder why they didn’t set this line at 2.5 instead of 1.5.
The former DePaul star has played in 63 games this season for Miami. He’s gone over this three-pointers total in 43 of those appearances. He’s also in good current form, as he’s hit 2 or more three-pointers in 6 of his last 10.
Atlanta does a decent job of defending the three-ball, but we don’t think that’ll matter tonight. Struss averages 7.4 shots per game from downtown, and all we need is for him to make 2 of them. The Hawks are only 18th in defensive efficiency, so it’s not like they’re some defensive juggernaut.