Winnipeg Jets vs Detroit Red Wings Prediction and Betting Odds
The Winnipeg Jets (8-1-0) head to Detroit to face the Red Wings (4-4-1) after a surprising loss to the Toronto Maple Leafs.
The Jets had an impressive undefeated start this far into the season, although their opponents so far weren’t exactly what we’d call top-tier teams. This game will be another test as Detroit’s young talent and their home-ice advantage could make for a fairly close game.
On the other side, the Red Wings are dealing with back-to-back tough losses, including an overtime heartbreaker to the Oilers. However, their young core, led by Lucas Raymond, Dylan Larkin, and Patrick Kane, is proving capable of hanging in with stronger teams.
Detroit has shown they can generate some offensive pressure, but the real challenge will be getting in more shots and avoiding penalties.
Winnipeg’s power play line is red-hot as they’re boasting an incredible 44.4% conversion rate. This makes it the best in the league so far.
Jets vs Red Wings Current Betting Odds
- Detroit Red Wings: +115
- Winnipeg Jets: -135
- Over/Under: 6.0
The bookmakers have the Jets as the faves in this game and they’ve got this set as a relatively low-scoring game. This feels about right, but there are a few variables to consider before you place a bet on this game.
Winnipeg Jets Betting Breakdown
The Jets’ offensive firepower has been on full display. They’ve scored an average of 4.44 goals per game.
Kyle Connor is on a tear with 8 goals, supported by the playmaking of Josh Morrissey, who leads the team with 10 assists. Mark Scheifele also provides a steady offensive presence with the pressure and shots which makes for one of the best front lines in the NHL.
Defensively, the Jets are decent, allowing just 2.44 goals per game, ranking them among the league’s best.
They have an 88.9% PK rate, which could come in handy against a Detroit team that isn’t shy about putting the puck on the net when on the power play.
Goalie Connor Hellebuyck has been sturdy, allowing 15 goals on 201 shots, while backup Eric Comrie has also stepped up with reliable play when needed.
Detroit Red Wings Betting Breakdown
The Red Wings’ season has been up and down.
They are averaging 2.78 goals per game with a middling power play success rate of 18.5%, so they’ll need to find more efficiency in high-stakes moments and try to get more SOG. Key players include Alex DeBrincat with 4 goals and the dynamic duo of Raymond and Larkin, who consistently create scoring chances by keeping pressure in the zone.
On the defensive end of the ice, Detroit’s numbers lag, allowing 3.11 goals per game.
Their penalty kill sits low at 66.7%, which could spell trouble against Winnipeg’s dangerous power play. Cam Talbot and Alex Lyon are sharing time in the net, but each has shown vulnerability with 13 and 9 goals allowed, respectively, but this is over a limited sample size. Each has dominated in the net in previous seasons. Can they turn it on for this game?
Why the Winnipeg Jets Could Win
The Jets come in as the favorites with a record that speaks to their consistency, especially in evening games.
They’ve won 7 of their last 8 night games and covered the puck line in 4 of the last 8 against Detroit after a loss. Winnipeg also holds a strong track record against Detroit, winning 7 of their last 10 matchups. Of course, this is a different team this year.
Adding to the Jets’ edge is their current dominance on the PP. Detroit’s shaky PK line might struggle to hold them off, especially if they give up a few too many penalties.
If Connor, Scheifele, and Morrissey maintain their form, the Jets will be hard to contain and we’re not sure if the Red Wings can do it.
Why the Detroit Red Wings Could Pull the Upset
While the Jets have a slight edge, Detroit’s combination of home ice at Little Caesars Arena, youthful energy, and offensive depth could make them a tricky opponent.
Raymond and Larkin, who tend to shine in high-energy games, will aim to test Hellebuyck early and often, and with the home crowd behind them, they’ll try to throw the Jets off their game from the moment the puck is dropped.
Historically, Dylan Larkin has performed well against Winnipeg, consistently finding the scoresheet, which could give Detroit the boost they need.
Patrick Kane, although he had a fairly slow start this season is starting to find his stride. We’ll see if he keeps it up and keeps tacking on points.
Defensively, Detroit’s path to success lies in nothing else but discipline. Staying out of the penalty box will be essential if they want to keep Winnipeg’s lethal power play at bay.
If the Wings can execute a clean, hard-fought game, they’ll have a really good chance to swing this matchup in their favor.
Prediction and Our Best Bet
This game could go either way, with Winnipeg holding a slight statistical and historical advantage.
However, Detroit’s home ice and the value offered by the underdog odds make the Red Wings a really good pick. Winnipeg’s last game exposed some vulnerabilities, and the Red Wings have the talent and energy to make the most of those vulnerabilities if they play a clean game.
- HelloRookie’s Best Bet: Red Wings Money Line (+115)
Matt Brown
Head of Sports Betting and DFS
Matt’s love for sports betting and daily fantasy sports, coupled with a deep understanding of football, hockey, and baseball, shapes his innovative thoughts on Hello Rookie. He has a B.S. in Aeronautical Computer Science and a M.S. in Project Management.