Categories: NHL

Vegas Golden Knights vs. San Jose Sharks Prediction, Betting Odds, and Prop Bets

The Vegas Golden Knights visit the San Jose Sharks tonight in a nationally televised Pacific Division showdown that you’re not going to want to miss.

The Golden Knights aim to complete a clean sweep of the season series against the Sharks, who sit at the bottom of the division and are struggling to do anything offensively and defensively this season.

With that, there are still plenty of good bets to place on tonight’s game, and here’s what we’ve come up with.

Betting Odds and Matchup Analysis

The Vegas Golden Knights are heavy favorites coming into the matchup tonight, with a moneyline of -275, while the underdog Sharks sit at just +220. Vegas also has the -1.5 puck line at -105, with the Sharks at +1.5 (-115). The total goals line is set at 6.5 which is pretty high for most games so we’re thinking this game will have plenty of goals.

Vegas leads the Pacific Division with a 27-9-3 record which is good for placing 1st in the Pacific Division while San Jose has struggled all year at 13-23-6 putting them dead last in the division. 

The Golden Knights have dominated this series so far, winning the first 2 matchups by a combined score of 13-6, including a 6-3 win just 11 days ago.

The Sharks are simply overmatched against the dominant Golden Knights. This is highlighted by their bottom-tier rankings in nearly every team metric such as goals for and goals against.

Key Stats and Trends

VGK Golden Knights Category SJ Sharks
17-4-0 Home 8-12-1
10-5-3 Road 5-11-5
24-15 Puck Line 27-15
20-18-1 O/U 19-20-3
W2 Streak W2
3.5 Avg. Goals For 2.6
2.7 Avg. Goals Against 3.5
2.3 Avg. Winning Margin 1.6
2.3 Avg. Losing Margin 2.1
6.3 Avg. Total Goals 6.2

While the record of these 2 teams should be enough to make a bet, we like to dig in a little deeper and see why these teams are where they are.

  • Vegas Golden Knights. 4th in goals scored with 138, 3rd in goals allowed with 104 and their power play ranks 7th in the NHL at 24.2%. To top that off, they boast a top-6 shooting percentage at 11.6%.
  • San Jose Sharks: Rank 30th in goals allowed with 145 and 26th in shooting percentage at 9.6%. The Sharks are bottom-tier in power play percentage with 17.2% and PIM with 368 minutes.

Vegas has been dominant on the road, with 12 straight wins in away games at night. They’ve also covered the puck line in 9 consecutive games after a win — and they won Saturday night against Buffalo 3-1.

San Jose, meanwhile, has won just 3 of their last 10 games and continues to struggle defensively. They’ve allowed an average of 3.9 goals per game this season which is one of the highest rates in the league.

Best Player Prop Bets

If you’re looking to mix things up as we are, there are some intriguing player props for this game you might want to check out.

  • Jack Eichel (Vegas). Eichel has recorded an assist in 7 straight games against the Sharks. Take the OVER 0.5 assists at -188, it’s a solid bet. It’s not the best odds, but it feels like a sure shot.
  • Alex Pietrangelo (Vegas). Pietrangelo has at least 1 point in each of his last 6 games against San Jose. You might want to take the OVER on 0.5 points at +120. We like these odds a bit more.
  • Tyler Toffoli (San Jose). Toffoli is the Sharks’ top goal scorer with 15 goals on the season. If anyone on the Sharks will find the back of the net it will be Toffoli. Take a close look at him notching an anytime goal at +250.

There are plenty of other props on tonight’s Golden Knights vs. Sharks matchup, but these are some of the best ones we’ve seen.

Our Prediction and Best Bet

The Sharks are simply outmatched in this matchup. Vegas has been firing on all cylinders, winning 4 of their last 5 games and outscoring opponents 20-9 over that span. San Jose, despite grabbing back-to-back wins, lacks the consistency and defensive structure to keep up with the high-powered Golden Knights even on their home ice.

  • Best Bet: Vegas Golden Knights -1.5 (-105)

We expect Vegas to control the pace and pile up goals early and often, especially with their depth advantage and better goaltending in Adin Hill. Hill, who owns a solid .904 save percentage and 2.58 GAA, vastly outshines the Sharks’ Vitek Vanecek, who has struggled to keep the puck out of the net with a .885 save percentage and a 3.84 GAA.

We’re backing Vegas to cover the puck line as they cruise to a commanding win, likely by multiple goals.

  • HelloRookie’s Prediction: Vegas 5, San Jose 2
Matt Brown

Matt's love for sports betting and daily fantasy sports, coupled with a deep understanding of football, hockey, and baseball, shapes his innovative thoughts on Hello Rookie. He has a B.S. in Aeronautical Computer Science and a M.S. in Project Management.

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