UFC Fight Night Betting Guide: 3 Best Bets for Saturday, April 6

UFC Fight Night Betting Guide 3 Best Bets for Saturday, April 6

While most will be focusing on the Final Four, don’t forget about UFC Fight Night. We’ve got 3 best bets we love for Saturday, April 5 below. Good luck!

Main Event Play: Chris Curtis (+180) (DraftKings)

Chris Curtis continues to be disrespected by the oddsmakers. After defeating Allen in their previous fight with an impressive KO, they still have him a significant underdog. Obviously, Brendan Allen will change up his strategy a bit, but the idea of him being able to get takedowns on Curtis is a bit of a stretch.

Curtis has a 92% takedown defense which is 1st among all active Middleweights and 5th overall. He will stifle Allen again if he decides to go the takedown route and try to get Curtis on the mat where he is at a distinct disadvantage.

On the feet, not many can compare to Curtis in boxing/striking, and with this one likely to stay there, Allen is going to run into problems. In the previous fight, they ended up in the clinch and Curts was able to land a couple of serious knees that ultimately led to the KO.

This time, Allen will be aware and prepared for those but that is likely to give Curtis the ability to stay at a distance where he does some of his best work. We believe Curtis will use his underdog status as motivation once again as he has in multiple fights previously.

Main Card Top Play: Morgan Charriere (-115) (Caesars)

Morgan is matched up against Chepe Mariscal here in what should be a decent striking fight. While they both will stand and throw, Chepe is more of a brawler and that could lead to him getting into some compromising positions.

In his last 9 fights, only 2 entered the 3rd round. For Morgan, he has gone into the 3rd round or deeper in 9 of his last 11 fights. We think that Morgan can drag this one out and get Chepe gassed by late in the 2nd and either put him away or pick up a decision.

Parlay: Bahamondes to win & Peek/Campbell method of victory KO/TKO/DQ (-135)

Bahamondes has a 4.5in reach advantage and should be able to remain at a distance and pick his spots to put some combinations together on Giagos. He is coming off a unanimous decision loss to Ludvoit Klein last August, however, he has yet to lose back-to-back fights in his 19-fight career.

Giagos has not fought many serious opponents. In fact, they have a combined 52% win rate. At just 20-11 and having lost 3 of his last 4, we believe he is being thrown to the wolves here against Bahamondes.

The Peek/Campbell fight should be an entertaining one. Both men like to stand and strike and have seriously heavy hands. 8 of Peek’s 9 wins have come via KO/TKO while Campbell has done the same in 6 of his 8 career wins.

Having rewatched both of their last fights, it was noticeable that both fighters tend to keep their head on the center line. That should make both a target for some big shots and heavy combinations.

Other Leans:

Damon Jackson (+170 at DraftKings)
Nora Cornolle (+275 at DraftKings)
Lukasz Brzeski (+215 at BetRivers)

Bill Christy

Sports Betting Contributor

Bill is a high-volume sports bettor who runs his own sports investing business. He has an uncanny ability to find tons of mathematical edges on each day’s sports betting card. Bill covers all sports but his bread and butter is UFC, Golf, and College Hoops. Find him on X at @LarrysLocks2