MNF: Our Best Player Prop Bets for Cowboys at Chargers
During a week where there are nearly as many games with spreads of a touchdown or more as there were of a field goal or fewer, Monday Night Football brings football fans a game ripe for primetime.
The LA Chargers host the Dallas Cowboys as home underdogs of 2.5 points, and the point total has rocketed up to 51, the highest of the week, from the opening number of 47.
These teams last met on the same field in September 2021, when the Cowboys rushed for nearly 200 yards thanks to the combination of Tony Pollard and Zeke Elliott to overcome Justin Herbert’s 338 passing yards and win on a Greg Zuerlein field goal as time expired.
Both Herbert and Prescott threw interceptions in that game and were sacked twice by the opposing team, with Herbert being the only QB to complete a touchdown pass.
In this matchup, Dallas enters as a favorite despite being thoroughly beaten in San Francisco a week ago and the fact that LA is coming off their early bye week.
The Cowboys are 1-2 straight up and ATS on the road this season, with two straight losses away from home since their 40-0 win against the Giants in Week 1. LA is 1-1 straight up and ATS at home following their seven-point win against the Raiders before their Week 5 bye.
Dak Prescott OVER 259.5 Passing Yards
Prescott had limited his turnovers through four games before the 49ers picked him off three times in last week’s brutal loss. He still ranks eighth in QBR and is completing 69.4% of his throws this year, but has not returned to his 2021 form that earned him a new contract in Dallas.
If he’s going to be effective against any team, LA is the one. The Chargers allow almost 300 yards passing per game to opponents, the worst in the league and have been league-average at stopping the run, whereas Dallas has been more effective.
Prescott has taken nine sacks in his last four games, but LA has not been generating the pressure they usually do this season. We expect Dak to be able to take advantage.
Josh Palmer OVER 53.5 Receiving Yards
Palmer has been elevated to the role of #2 receiver in this offense with the loss of Mike Williams for the season and has seen 15 targets in two games since.
He was on the field for 86% of the snaps in LA’s Week 4 win against Las Vegas and has proven to be an effective option for Herbert when more of the attention goes to preventing Keenan Allen from getting the ball.
Dallas has the second-best pass defense in the league, but looking at their schedule, they haven’t faced a passer like Herbert yet in 2023. The loss of Trevon Diggs in their secondary will be felt more in this contest, and we expect Palmer to eclipse 60 yards receiving.
Sports Betting Contributor
Nicholas brings over 10 years of sports betting and DFS experience to our team. He’s a player prop specialist who holds a degree from Penn State University. He enjoys a nice round of golf in his downtime and covers the NFL, NBA, baseball, CFB, and CBB. Mr. Berault is currently on a great run with his NFL best bets, so be sure to check those out!