Edmonton Oilers vs St. Louis Blues Picks & Predictions

Edmonton’s firepower meets St. Louis’ inconsistency in this Western Conference showdown. Can the Blues pull off an upset, or will the Oilers dominate again?
Leon Draisaitl leads the Oilers in total points as they go up against the St Louis Blues

The Edmonton Oilers are taking on the St. Louis Blues tonight at the Enterprise Center in St. Louis and it’s already looking like it’s going to be quite a showdown. Edmonton, with their 32-16-4 record, leads the regular season series 1-0 after a 4-2 win in their first meeting over a month ago. The Blues and their 24-25-4 record will try to get this one back to even the series.

With both teams obviously trending in different directions, we’re breaking down the odds, key matchups, and our best bet for this game.

Betting Odds and Matchup Analysis

Team Puck Line Total Moneyline
Oilers -1.5
+142
O 8.5
+114
-185
Blues +1.5
-170
U 8.5
-135
+155

The Oilers come into this game as the clear favorites. They’re listed at -185 on the moneyline, while the Blues are priced at +155. The over/under for this matchup is set at a whopping 8.5 goals which means we might see some heavy offense in this game.

So, how do these teams stack up against one another? The stats seem heavily in favor of Edmonton as well.

Oilers Blues
18-9-2 Home 11-13-1
14-7-2 Road 13-12-3
20-32 Puck Line 28-25
22-29-1 O/U 21-28-4
L2 Streak W1
3.3 Avg. Goals For 2.7
2.7 Avg. Goals Against 3.0
2.3 Avg. Winning Margin 2.1
2.2 Avg. Losing Margin 2.3
6.0 Avg. Total Goals 5.7

Edmonton’s Edge

The Oilers are looking great as of late, winning 6 of their last 10 games while scoring an average of 3.2 goals per game during that impressive stretch.

Their offensive power is undeniable as they have 2 of the best players in the league with Leon Draisaitl who has 77 points and Connor McDavid with 67 points.

Edmonton’s ability to capitalize on power plays, which they have a whopping 24% conversion rate, gives them an added advantage as the St. Louis’ penalty kill unit ranks 18th in the league.

Defensively, Stuart Skinner has been solid between the pipes with a 2.71 GAA and .902 save percentage. He’s had better seasons, but this still puts him as one of the best netminders in the NHL. Over his last 10 starts, he’s allowed just 2.4 goals per game which keeps the Oilers competitive even when their offense slows down or when McDavid is serving out a suspension.

St. Louis’s Struggles

The Blues are trying to stay afloat in the Central Division playoff hunt but have struggled with consistency all season long

They’re 4-6 in their last 10 games and they’ve scored just 19 goals in that span. They’ll need to be more efficient than just 1.9 goals per game if they want to remain competitive.

Jordan Kyrou leads the team with 42 points consisting of 22 goals and 20 assists, but he hasn’t had much support from the rest of the lineup. Kyrou is decent, but they really need some depth when going against teams like the Oilers. The Blues’ overall offensive production ranks just 25th in the league, averaging 2.7 goals per game.

On the defensive side, Jordan Binnington has had a rocky season as well with a 3.02 GAA and a below-average .898 save percentage. That’s not to say he can’t turn it on when he really needs to as he’s already notched several shutouts this year and some of those include some really good teams like Ottawa, Detroit, and New Jersey. However, he’ll have to get more consistent to keep the Blues in the fight.

The Blues have also struggled to limit quality scoring chances. They’re giving up over 32 shots per game, which could be a problem against Edmonton’s elite forwards who are absolutely relentless when in the zone.

Prediction and Our Best Bet

This game feels tilted way in favor of Edmonton for a few reasons.

First, the Oilers have a clear edge in offensive firepower. Draisaitl and McDavid are producing at elite levels and that is of no surprise. Both are in contention for the coveted Hart Trophy. It’s hard to see the Blues matching that offensive output. On top of that, Edmonton’s defense has tightened up recently, which bodes really well against a struggling St. Louis attack.

However, we have to give some credit to St. Louis. They have shown flashes of competitiveness, but they seems few and far between. Either they’re smoking hot, or extremely terrible. Of course, their defensive lapses and lack of secondary scoring are glaring issues. Binnington’s inconsistency adds another layer of concern heading into tonight, especially against an Oilers team that converts at a high rate when given open looks.

  • HelloRookie’s Prediction: Oilers 4, Blues 1
  • Best Bet: Edmonton -1.5 (+142)

We’re backing the Oilers to cover the puck line at +142. The safer bet is obviously the moneyline, but we like the odds with 2+ goals finding the back of the net.

Edmonton’s superior offense, better goaltending, and recency make them a strong bet to win by at least 2 goals. With the Blues allowing 3+ goals in 4 of their last 5 games, Edmonton should have no problem exploiting those defensive gaps and putting up a solid margin of victory.

For total goals, we like the under 8.5. This looks intriguing given both teams’ recent defensive improvements, but Edmonton on the puck line is definitely the sharper play. We expect Draisaitl and McDavid to take control of this game early and secure a decisive win for the Oilers by a few points.

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Matt Brown


Head of Sports Betting and DFS

Matt’s love for sports betting and daily fantasy sports, coupled with a deep understanding of football, hockey, and baseball, shapes his innovative thoughts on Hello Rookie. He has a B.S. in Aeronautical Computer Science and a M.S. in Project Management.