Chargers at Jets: Best Player Prop Bets for MNF
The laws of inertia as we know them may be tested on Monday night, when an easily stoppable force, the Jets’ offense, meets a very moveable object, the Chargers’ defense, live on TV for all to witness.
There are a few data points that provide context to that statement. New York is 31st in passing offense, 30th in points per drive, 26th in scoring average, and 25th in yards per play this season.
The Chargers have the 32nd-ranked passing defense, are 26th in points per drive allowed, sit 24th in defensive scoring average, and rank 30th in yards per play allowed in 2023. The phrase, ‘something’s gotta give,’ comes to mind.
In terms of results, the Jets enter this Week 9 contest as winners of three straight. An overtime victory against the Giants last week came during their first game as a favorite this season, and they are back to a familiar place as home underdogs for Monday night. This will be the Jets’ 31st game since 2019 as home dogs, the most in the NFL.
The Chargers have won three of five after an 0-2 start, and the list of teams they’ve fallen to includes the Dolphins, Chiefs, and Cowboys. The line has moved outside a field goal, with LA favored by 3.5 points at the Meadowlands. The total is hovering around 40.
Our props went 2-1 for Week 7’s MNF best bets, bringing the tally from the prior two editions of this piece to 4-1. Kirk Cousins’ promo wager on total yards was a winner, as expected, and Alexander Mattison turned eight carries into 39 yards to finish under his total. San Francisco’s Brandon Aiyuk was targeted six times and caught five passes for 57 yards to leave us shy of his total.
Ahead of Week 9’s matchup at the Meadowlands, we’ve got another best bet card for player props in the Chargers vs. Jets weekly finale, brought to you by the Underdog Fantasy app.
Herbert’s season has been a seesaw of performances that include a high QBR of 95.2 against Minnesota in Week 3 (405 yards, 3 TDs) and three games with a QBR of less than 50.
New York has contained Jalen Hurts, Patrick Mahomes, and Josh Allen to one touchdown pass each this season and ranks 4th in the NFL in opponent yards per pass attempt.
Herbert is still down one of his main targets, with Joshua Palmer playing hurt last week and not practicing ahead of this matchup. We don’t see him tossing multiple TDs Monday night on the road against a strong Jets’ secondary.
Breece Hall OVER 17.5 Receiving Yards
Just 15 running backs with 75+ attempts are averaging more than four yards per carry this season, and Breece Hall leads the pack at a 5.7-yard clip. The Chargers’ defense ranks 9th in opponent yards per rush, allowing 93 yards per game.
Their passing defense, as we covered, is dead-last in the league in yards per attempt allowed, and we like Hall to take advantage of that matchup. The second-year, multi-faceted back out of Iowa State has seen 4+ targets in three of four games heading into Week 9.
He’s exploded for 130 yards and a touchdown as a pass-catcher in wins against the Eagles and Giants and is a threat to get 20 yards every time he catches a swing pass. If he can reach four targets again on MNF, this one should be straightforward.
Sports Betting Contributor
Nicholas brings over 10 years of sports betting and DFS experience to our team. He’s a player prop specialist who holds a degree from Penn State University. He enjoys a nice round of golf in his downtime and covers the NFL, NBA, baseball, CFB, and CBB. Mr. Berault is currently on a great run with his NFL best bets, so be sure to check those out!