The NHL slate is still young, but a handful of elite shooters are already showing exactly why their shots-on-goal numbers are worth betting on. Tonight’s board gives us two proven volume shooters in Boston and Detroit lighting the lamp early, plus a top-pairing defenseman whose shot attempts have been quietly piling up. If you’re looking for props that lean on recent usage and real matchup data rather than guesswork, this is the trio to build around.

Each of these three bets comes down to the same simple idea: find players who are already shooting at a high rate, then find them a matchup that should let them keep doing it. Here’s the breakdown on all three, leg by leg.

David Pastrnak Over 3.5 Shots on Goal (+105, FanDuel)

David Pastrnak has been Boston’s engine through the first stretch of the season, and the shot volume backs it up. He’s already fired 19 shots on goal through his first five games, a pace that comfortably clears this 3.5 line on a given night when he’s rolling. He just put together a four-point game against Utah, scoring twice on the power play and adding two assists, and he’s logging nearly 20 minutes a night as Boston’s top offensive option.

Tonight’s matchup works in his favor. The Flyers have been one of the more porous teams in the league defensively through the early going, surrendering a heavy shot-attempt rate to opponents. Pastrnak gets no shortage of volume on the power play either — he’s already scored twice with the man advantage this season off just three shots, a sign he’s getting prime looks when Boston’s top unit is on the ice. A Flyers defense that’s been bleeding shot attempts against is exactly the kind of matchup where a shooter like Pastrnak can comfortably clear 3.5 shots, especially with extra power-play opportunities in play if the Flyers take penalties the way they have been.

Alex DeBrincat Over 3.5 Shots on Goal (+105, Hard Rock Bet)

Alex DeBrincat has made a habit of torching Montreal, and his shot volume this season gives this prop real juice. DeBrincat ranked among the league’s shot-volume leaders a season ago and has carried that aggressive shooting mentality into this year, consistently getting his stick on four or more shots a night when Detroit controls the pace. He’s riding one of the better stretches of his career, racking up points in bunches and doing damage against the Canadiens specifically in recent meetings between these two Atlantic Division rivals.

History here matters. In Detroit’s past meetings with Montreal, DeBrincat has been directly involved in the key moments — scoring go-ahead goals and piling up multi-point nights against this particular opponent. Montreal hasn’t been able to slow down Detroit’s top forwards in recent head-to-head matchups, and DeBrincat’s tendency to fire from anywhere in the offensive zone makes him a prime candidate to clear 3.5 shots again tonight. With Detroit’s offense humming and DeBrincat getting top-line minutes, the volume should be there.

Moritz Seider Over 2.5 Shots on Goal (+136, FanDuel)

Seider doesn’t get talked about as a shooter the way Pastrnak or DeBrincat do, but the Red Wings defenseman has quietly become one of the league’s highest-volume shot generators from the blue line. He topped 180 shots on goal last season while logging a career-high workload on Detroit’s top pairing, and he’s back in that same featured role to start this year, regularly north of 24 minutes a night. That kind of ice time naturally produces shot attempts, especially on the power play, where Detroit leans on him to walk the line and fire.

A plus-136 price on 2.5 shots is appealing value for a defenseman getting this much playing time against a Canadiens team still finding its defensive footing early in the season. Seider has strung together multi-shot efforts regularly, including stretches of four and five shots in a single night, and tonight’s matchup with Montreal gives Detroit’s blue line plenty of runway to fire from distance if the Canadiens sag back defensively the way they have at times this year. The volume and the role are both trending in the right direction for this number.

Lock These In

All three of these bets are built on the same foundation: heavy recent shot volume meeting a matchup that should let it continue. Pastrnak and DeBrincat are two of the league’s best shooting wingers finding soft underbellies on defense, while Seider offers a different kind of value as a high-minutes defenseman getting plenty of chances to let it rip. Check your Hard Rock Bet promo before locking these in, since the odds can move as puck drop approaches.

Shots-on-goal props reward consistency over flash, and all three of these players have shown exactly that through the early weeks of the season.