Hello Rookie
  • Sportsbooks
    • Promotions
      • DraftKings Promo Code
      • FanDuel Promo Code
      • Bet365 Promo Code
      • BetMGM Promo Code
      • Caesars Promo Code
      • Tipico Promo Code
      • PointsBet Promo Code
      • Betway Promo Code
      • SI Sportsbook Promo Code Offer
      • BetRivers Promo Code
      • Unibet Promo Code
      • Desert Diamond Promo Code
      • Fliff Promo Code
    • Reviews
      • DraftKings SportsBook Review
      • FanDuel Sportsbook Review
      • PointsBet Sportsbook Review
      • Bet365 Sportsbook Review
      • BetMGM Sportsbook Review
      • Caesars Sportsbook Review
      • BetRivers Sportsbook Review
      • Tipico Sportsbook Review
      • SI Sportsbook Review
      • Unibet Sportsbook Review
      • Betway Sportsbook Review
    • States
      • Arizona Sports Betting
      • Arkansas Sports Betting
      • Colorado Sports Betting
      • Illinois Sports Betting
      • Indiana Sports Betting
      • Iowa Sports Betting
      • Kentucky Sports Betting
      • Maryland Sports Betting
      • Massachusetts Sports Betting
      • Michigan Sports Betting
      • Mississippi Sports Betting
      • New Hampshire Sports Betting
      • New Jersey Sports Betting
      • New York Sports Betting
      • North Carolina Sports Betting
      • Ohio Sports Betting
      • Oregon Sports Betting
      • Pennsylvania Sports Betting
      • Tennessee Sports Betting
      • Vermont Sports Betting
      • Virginia Sports Betting
      • Washington Sports Betting
      • West Virginia Sports Betting
  • Daily Fantasy
    • Promotions
      • Underdog Promo Code
      • Vivid Picks Promo Code
      • PrizePicks Promo Code
      • Thrive Promo Code
      • OwnersBox Promo Code
      • ParlayPlay Promo Code
      • Jock MKT Promo Code
      • StatHero Promo Code
      • SuperDraft Promo Code
    • DFS Reviews
      • Underdog Fantasy Review
      • Vivid Picks Review
      • PrizePicks Review
      • Thrive Fantasy Review
      • Yahoo DFS Review
    • DFS Picks
  • NFL
  • CFB
  • NBA
  • MLB
Subscribe
Hello Rookie
  • Sportsbooks
    • Promotions
      • DraftKings Promo Code
      • FanDuel Promo Code
      • Bet365 Promo Code
      • BetMGM Promo Code
      • Caesars Promo Code
      • Tipico Promo Code
      • PointsBet Promo Code
      • Betway Promo Code
      • SI Sportsbook Promo Code Offer
      • BetRivers Promo Code
      • Unibet Promo Code
      • Desert Diamond Promo Code
      • Fliff Promo Code
    • Reviews
      • DraftKings SportsBook Review
      • FanDuel Sportsbook Review
      • PointsBet Sportsbook Review
      • Bet365 Sportsbook Review
      • BetMGM Sportsbook Review
      • Caesars Sportsbook Review
      • BetRivers Sportsbook Review
      • Tipico Sportsbook Review
      • SI Sportsbook Review
      • Unibet Sportsbook Review
      • Betway Sportsbook Review
    • States
      • Arizona Sports Betting
      • Arkansas Sports Betting
      • Colorado Sports Betting
      • Illinois Sports Betting
      • Indiana Sports Betting
      • Iowa Sports Betting
      • Kentucky Sports Betting
      • Maryland Sports Betting
      • Massachusetts Sports Betting
      • Michigan Sports Betting
      • Mississippi Sports Betting
      • New Hampshire Sports Betting
      • New Jersey Sports Betting
      • New York Sports Betting
      • North Carolina Sports Betting
      • Ohio Sports Betting
      • Oregon Sports Betting
      • Pennsylvania Sports Betting
      • Tennessee Sports Betting
      • Vermont Sports Betting
      • Virginia Sports Betting
      • Washington Sports Betting
      • West Virginia Sports Betting
  • Daily Fantasy
    • Promotions
      • Underdog Promo Code
      • Vivid Picks Promo Code
      • PrizePicks Promo Code
      • Thrive Promo Code
      • OwnersBox Promo Code
      • ParlayPlay Promo Code
      • Jock MKT Promo Code
      • StatHero Promo Code
      • SuperDraft Promo Code
    • DFS Reviews
      • Underdog Fantasy Review
      • Vivid Picks Review
      • PrizePicks Review
      • Thrive Fantasy Review
      • Yahoo DFS Review
    • DFS Picks
  • NFL
  • CFB
  • NBA
  • MLB
Subscribe
Hello Rookie

4 Tips for Betting Major League Baseball in 2022

Mike NoblinbyMike Noblin
April 7, 2022
in MLB
TipsForBettingMLBin2022

After a brief delay due to a 99-day lockout, the 2022 Major League Baseball season is underway. If you’ve never bet MLB before, it can be a serious grind. However, with a lot of hard work and a little bit of luck, betting on baseball can be incredibly profitable.

Whether you’re a baseball betting veteran or you’re just starting to learn, this article will be a great help to you. Here are 4 tips for betting Major League Baseball in 2022.

1. Consider the Math Behind the Moneyline

Unlike football, there is no point spread in baseball (though there is the -1.5 run line option). The majority of baseball betting is done on the moneyline, which means you simply have to pick the winner. While that may sound easy, it’s no walk in the park!

Let’s say the defending champion Atlanta Braves are playing against the lowly Pittsburgh Pirates. If Max Fried is on the hill for the Braves, the moneyline on Atlanta to win may be -300. This means you’ll have to risk $300 to win $100.

At -300 odds, you’ll have to win 75% of your bets just to break even! This just goes to show how meaningless a bettor’s winning percentage is when betting on baseball. While 55% is a great winning percentage in football betting, you can quickly go broke with that same winning percentage if you bet primarily on big favorites in baseball.

2. Look for Value in the Underdogs

The majority of successful baseball bettors focus on finding the best underdogs on the board each day. Baseball is a funny game. The worst team in the league can and often will beat the best team in the league around 30% of the time. Even awful teams like the Baltimore Orioles and Arizona Diamondbacks still won 32% of their games in 2021.

Because of this, it makes sense to make underdogs the cornerstone of your betting strategy. Did you know that at +150 odds, you only have to win 40% of your bets to break even? That sounds a heck of a lot easier than trying to win 75% of the time with -300 favorites!

3. Understand the Stats that Matter

A lot of novice baseball bettors get too caught up in general stats like earned run average (ERA) and batting average. While there’s nothing wrong with checking those numbers, keep in mind that those types of stats aren’t predictive. Too many bettors burn way too much money by basing their wagers solely on those two stats.

If you really want to crunch numbers for starting pitchers, pay attention to some of the advanced metrics like FIP, xFIP, and SIERA. All three of these stats paint a much clearer picture of what’s really going on with the guys on the mound. Checking a pitcher’s hard-hit percentage and comparing it to the league average is also helpful.

Also, look into BABIP, which stands for Batting Average on Balls In Play. This is a stat that usually regresses back to the mean. The league average for BABIP is usually around .285 or so.

Here’s an example of how to use BABIP in your handicapping. Let’s say you come across a starting pitcher who is 1-4 over his last 5 starts. You check and see that his BABIP is something crazy high like .335 but his hard-hit percentage is actually better than the league average.

More than likely, that pitcher has just been getting unlucky during his starts. Maybe he’s just not receiving any run support from his offense or lots of seeing-eye ground balls are finding the holes. He’s probably due for some positive regression and may be worth a bet.

4. Know the Basics When Betting Totals

If all of the moneyline math makes your head hurt, you can try your hand at betting baseball totals instead. Most of the time, the juice on totals will be in the -110 to -125 range so they’re a little less intimidating than -300 favorites. Here are a few basics to consider whenever betting on baseball totals:

  • Ride The Streaks– Hot offenses continue to stay hot until proven otherwise. When betting Overs, make sure at least one of the teams involved has been in a good groove at the plate. When betting Unders, make sure that at least one of the starting pitchers is in good current form.
  • Know Thy Umpire– Knowing the home plate umpire is vitally important when betting totals. An ump with a large strike zone like Rob Drake is great for betting Unders. By that same token, an ump with a tiny strike zone like Alfonso Marquez works well when betting Overs. Keep in mind that whichever ump was at first base the day before will be the home plate ump in the next game.
  • Check Weather Reports– This one is a biggie! You never want to be holding an Over ticket if the wind is blowing in at 20 miles an hour. When that happens, balls that would normally be home runs are just fly ball outs. Find a trustworthy source for weather when betting MLB totals.

So, as you can see, betting on baseball can be a fun and profitable endeavor. It can also be a fantastic way to build up your bankroll before football season. Stay tuned throughout the season for some of our MLB best bets and winning strategies. Best of luck this season!

Previous Post

4 Best Bets for The 2022 Players Championship

Next Post

Fantasy TE Rankings for 2022

Mike Noblin

Mike Noblin

Mike Noblin is a seasoned handicapper and the lead sports betting author at Hello Rookie. Mike has been involved with the industry for two decades, and has worked as a full time analyst and writer for the past three years. He covers a wide variety of sports, including the NFL, College Football, NBA, College Basketball, and MLB.

Related Posts

3 MLB Props for Wednesday, August 23
MLB

3 MLB Props for Wednesday, August 23

August 23, 2023
3 Underdog MLB Props for Wednesday, August 16
DFS

3 Underdog MLB Props for Wednesday, August 16

September 20, 2023
3 Underdog MLB Player Props for Tuesday, August 15
DFS

3 Underdog MLB Player Props for Tuesday, August 15

September 20, 2023
3 MLB Player Prop Bets for Friday, August 11
MLB

3 MLB Player Prop Bets for Friday, August 11

September 20, 2023

Leave a Reply Cancel reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Hello Rookie Newsletter

Hello Rookie Newsletter

Trending Today

NFL Best Bets for Sunday, December 10
NFL

NFL Best Bets for Sunday, December 10

...

by Nicholas Berault
December 6, 2023
3 Underdog NBA Props for Wednesday, December 6
NBA

3 Underdog NBA Props for Wednesday, December 6

...

by Andrew Elmquist
December 6, 2023
Army vs Navy Three Prop Bets and Our Best Bet
CFB

Army vs Navy: Three Prop Bets and Our Best Bet

...

by Ernie Horn
December 6, 2023
Top 5 Player Props For CFB Championship Week
CFB

Top 5 Player Props For CFB Championship Week

...

by Ernie Horn
December 1, 2023
Next Post
Fantasy TE Rankings for 2022

Fantasy TE Rankings for 2022

Hello Rookie Amp Logo
Follow US
21+ to wager. Please Gamble Responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS, NV), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-877-770-STOP (7867) (LA), Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA), Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), 1-800-270-7117 for confidential help (MI). Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), 1-888-532-3500 (VA).
This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Hello Rookie makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.
Beat the Odds with Hello Rookie!
Home About Contact Editorial Standards Privacy Terms of Service Newsletter Careers Responsible Gambling
info@hellorookie.com | 360 Central Ave Suite 800, St. Petersburg, FL 33701
© 2023 Hello Rookie. All Rights Reserved.
No Result
View All Result
  • Sportsbooks
    • Promotions
      • DraftKings Promo Code
      • FanDuel Promo Code
      • Bet365 Promo Code
      • BetMGM Promo Code
      • Caesars Promo Code
      • Tipico Promo Code
      • PointsBet Promo Code
      • Betway Promo Code
      • SI Sportsbook Promo Code Offer
      • BetRivers Promo Code
      • Unibet Promo Code
      • Desert Diamond Promo Code
      • Fliff Promo Code
    • Reviews
      • DraftKings SportsBook Review
      • FanDuel Sportsbook Review
      • PointsBet Sportsbook Review
      • Bet365 Sportsbook Review
      • BetMGM Sportsbook Review
      • Caesars Sportsbook Review
      • BetRivers Sportsbook Review
      • Tipico Sportsbook Review
      • SI Sportsbook Review
      • Unibet Sportsbook Review
      • Betway Sportsbook Review
    • States
      • Arizona Sports Betting
      • Arkansas Sports Betting
      • Colorado Sports Betting
      • Illinois Sports Betting
      • Indiana Sports Betting
      • Iowa Sports Betting
      • Kentucky Sports Betting
      • Maryland Sports Betting
      • Massachusetts Sports Betting
      • Michigan Sports Betting
      • Mississippi Sports Betting
      • New Hampshire Sports Betting
      • New Jersey Sports Betting
      • New York Sports Betting
      • North Carolina Sports Betting
      • Ohio Sports Betting
      • Oregon Sports Betting
      • Pennsylvania Sports Betting
      • Tennessee Sports Betting
      • Vermont Sports Betting
      • Virginia Sports Betting
      • Washington Sports Betting
      • West Virginia Sports Betting
  • Daily Fantasy
    • Promotions
      • Underdog Promo Code
      • Vivid Picks Promo Code
      • PrizePicks Promo Code
      • Thrive Promo Code
      • OwnersBox Promo Code
      • ParlayPlay Promo Code
      • Jock MKT Promo Code
      • StatHero Promo Code
      • SuperDraft Promo Code
    • DFS Reviews
      • Underdog Fantasy Review
      • Vivid Picks Review
      • PrizePicks Review
      • Thrive Fantasy Review
      • Yahoo DFS Review
    • DFS Picks
  • NFL
  • CFB
  • NBA
  • MLB

© 2023 Hello Rookie.