We had a perfect 3-0 sweep our last time out in the Association! Monte Morris, Jaden Ivey, and Keegan Murray all got the job done for us by going over their respective prop numbers. It’s always a great feeling sweeping the board.
Let’s keep it going with 4 PrizePicks NBA Props for Friday, March 24. Best of luck with all of your action!
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De’Aaron Fox OVER 5.5 Assists
Every once in a while, you come across a line that doesn’t make sense. When that happens, it often makes for a great betting opportunity. That’s exactly what we think about Fox’s assists prop tonight.
Fox is averaging 6.1 assists per game and 6.2 for his career. This makes you wonder why PrizePicks isn’t setting this line at 6 instead of 5.5. The former Kentucky Wildcat has also gone over this total in 8 of his last 12 ball games.
Taking a second look at the yearly stats, we see that Fox has dished out 6 assists or more in 37 of 65 games. That’s probably why SI Sportsbook is juicing the Over at -141. Take the Over!
Jaden Ivey UNDER 3.5 Rebounds
Ivey cashed his 3-pointer prop for us on Tuesday night, but we’re fading him tonight in the rebounding department. Ivey’s season-long rebounding numbers aren’t too bad for a guard, but the market is telling us that the Under is the play. Unibet is juicing the Under at -155, while FanDuel isn’t too far behind at -146.
The Pistons are also huge underdogs tonight to the Raptors. If Toronto builds a big lead, Detroit may choose to unload its bench. Fewer minutes should equal fewer rebounds for Ivey.
Toronto is also a solid rebounding squad, so the matchup isn’t that favorable for Ivey on the glass. The Raptors rank 11th in rebounds allowed per game.
Jakob Poeltl OVER 10.5 Rebounds
Poeltl has been like a new man since coming to Toronto in a trade from San Antonio. The former Utah Utes star is 7-1 and 245 pounds, so he has the ideal rebounding size. We think Poeltl has a big night on the glass against Detroit.
The Pistons are a trainwreck, and they clearly want the season to be over. Detroit ranks 22nd in rebounds allowed per game. Poeltl should have no trouble going over this total.
He’s grabbed 11 rebounds or more in 5 of the 7 times he’s played the Pistons. Caesars agrees with our logic, as they’re pricing the Over at -145.
Dillon Brooks OVER 2.5 Rebounds
Here’s another line that looks off! Brooks is averaging 3.3 rebounds per game this season and 3.4 over his last 5 games. Brooks has also gone over this total in 12 of his last 14 games. Maybe that’s why Pinnacle is juicing the Over at -155.
The yearly metrics also favor an Over. Brooks has grabbed 3 rebounds or more in 43 of 65 games this season. He’s also rebounded the ball pretty well against Houston in his career.
Through 15 games against the Rockets, Brooks has gone over this total in 9 of them. Let’s ride the Over!
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