Everything was going according to plan for our Week 10 prop bets on Sunday afternoon until Detroit scored 21 points in the 4th quarter and Jared Goff surpassed his passing yard total by 2.5 yards.
Combined with a slow day from Denver tight end Greg Dulcich, our plays ended at 1-2 for the week. Rachaad White saw 22 carries en route to a career day to give us one winning play.
Several high-performing offensive teams are on bye this week, including Miami and Seattle. We look ahead to Sunday’s daytime action in this article and provide our player prop best bets here.
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Miles Sanders UNDER 63.5 Rushing Yards
Best Available Odds: -110 at BetMGM
Sanders and the Eagles have not yet faced a defense that prevents the run better than the Colts in 2022. Indianapolis allows just 3.8 yards per carry to opposing ballcarriers, good for second best in the NFL.
Sanders struggled against other top-10 run defenses like Washington and Arizona this season and will face an even tougher test against Indy’s defensive front. Finally, the Colts had 30 rushing attempts to 29 pass plays in Jeff Saturday’s first game as head coach.
Indy will grind the clock on offense and look to minimize the amount of time and opportunities that the Eagles’ offense will have.
Zach Wilson UNDER 0.5 Interceptions
Best Available Odds: +155 at DraftKings
Wilson threw three of his five interceptions on the season against New England in their Week 8 loss to the Patriots at home. Needless to say, it’s nearly impossible to win football games with that many turnovers.
There is no doubt that the Jets’ offensive coaching staff will adjust both their preparation and their game plan to avoid putting Wilson in the same spots that caused him to turn the ball over.
Against the Bills in Week 9, Wilson completed 72% of his throws and added a touchdown without throwing an interception as New York ran the ball nearly 56% of their plays. We expect a similar game script and result for him against New England the second time around.
Saquon Barkley UNDER 97.5 Rushing Yards
Best Available Odds: -115 at DraftKings
The Giants have a chance to finish the season as the 5-seed in the NFC after their preseason win total was set at 7.5. Their remaining schedule includes five games in the division, including two dates with Philadelphia and Washington apiece.
Barkley is averaging 22 carries per game, well above his previous career high of 16.7 in 2019. Head coach Brian Daboll has made it a priority to establish the running game in New York.
That said, we expect Daboll to give the young back a reduction in workload against a 3-6 Lions team after Barkley carried the ball 35 times in Week 10.
Tyler Higbee OVER 4.5 Receptions
Best Available Odds: -120 at BetMGM
The loss of Cooper Kupp to this Rams’ offense cannot be overstated. He’s been on the receiving end of more than 30% of the team’s pass attempts this season and is responsible for 34% of LA’s completed passes.
Those targets and receptions simply have to go somewhere else. Some of those plays the team would previously call for Kupp could turn into rushing plays, but that’s unlikely given the Rams are dead last in the NFL in rushing attempts.
Higbee is pacing for career highs in targets and receptions in 2022 despite a slow stretch of games recently and should return to seeing 7-10 targets per week in Kupp’s absence. We like him to start that trend in Week 11 against New Orleans.