Back-to-back days of NFL prop betting? Don’t mind if we do! 10 games will be played Sunday afternoon before the Giants and Commanders face off for the night game.
Point spreads range from a pick’em in the Raiders-Patriots matchup in Las Vegas to the Kansas City Chiefs giving 14 points on the road to the Texans. For what it’s worth, Houston nearly won outright as 17-point underdogs in Dallas last week.
In preparation for the first Saturday-Sunday doubleheader of the season, we’ve reloaded with our second round of NFL player prop best bets for this weekend’s games and present those just ahead.
Bet $5, Get $150 Free
On NFL or College Football
$1,000 Risk-Free Bet
Win or Get a Refund
Justin Fields UNDER 166.5 Passing Yards
Best Available Odds: -120 at BetMGM
Looking at Fields’ recent injury woes, his group of pass catchers, and the matchup with the Eagles’ nightmare of a secondary, it portends to be a tough outing for the young quarterback on Sunday afternoon.
Philadelphia is second in the NFL in opponent passing yards per attempt and still maintains the highest interception rate in the league, as they have for most of the year.
Fields is still not practicing as of Wednesday, and there is a chance he doesn’t suit up. If he does, a return from injury could not be harsher than what he and his teammates will face on Sunday.
Jared Goff UNDER 230.5 Passing Yards
Best Available Odds: Currently at PrizePicks
We don’t bet on players; we bet on numbers. After cashing on Goff’s passing yards going over the total last week, we turn right back around and fade him ahead of a road test against the Jets.
Goff is averaging 227 passing yards per game in five road games this season compared to a 277-yard average in eight home games. The Jets have a solid secondary and a decent pass rush, so that could hinder Goff’s numbers this week.
They rank in the top five defensively among all teams in opponent yards per attempt, yards per game, passer rating, and passing touchdowns allowed this season. Goff will struggle compared to his recent form, and we’ll play the under accordingly.
Keenan Allen UNDER 71.5 Receiving Yards
Best Available Odds: -115 at DraftKings
Allen has re-established himself in the Chargers’ offense as the dominant receiver after missing more than half of the team’s games to this point. He’s racked up 28 targets in the last two weeks, but has yet to top the 100-yard mark in six games this season and is averaging only 11.8 yards per catch.
The Titans’ pass defense is vulnerable to a team that can air it out like the Chargers, but Allen has struggled to post high yardage totals despite his massive target share of late.
We predict his opportunities will slightly regress toward the mean in Week 15, and his yardage total to decline as a result.
Joe Mixon OVER 58.5 Rushing Yards
Best Available Odds: -115 at Caesars
The Buccaneers’ defense has allowed 170+ rushing yards to opponents in four of their last seven games, and Joe Mixon walking through their tunnel will not be a welcome sight. Despite some injury concerns recently, Mixon confirmed last week that the Bengals’ backfield still belongs to him.
He posted a 14-carry, 96-yard performance against Cleveland after not playing since November 20 as Cincinnati avenged their earlier season loss.
Samaje Perine has created some cause for concern in that he’s played well in Mixon’s absence, but we don’t see that sustaining now that Mixon appears to be back at full strength. We’ll roll with Mixon to top the 60-yard mark on Sunday.
Leave a Reply