With six teams on a bye week, the Week 14 Sunday slate only has 11 games for sports investors to exploit. Several teams (Bills, Bengals, Lions) are in revenge situations against division rivals. A couple of the marquee matchups include the Bucs vs. the 49ers and the Dolphins vs. the Chargers.
Those games are particularly important for the Bucs and Chargers since they’re both only 6-6 so far this season. Both teams need a win to stay in the hunt for a playoff berth.
Even with the somewhat light Sunday afternoon slate, we still found 3 best bets for NFL Week 14. Two of these are straight bets, and one is a nice little Wong Teaser (more on those later). As always, the goal is a 2-1 performance or better.
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Panthers +4 over Seahawks
Best Available Odds: -110 at WynnBet
This Carolina team has looked much better since getting rid of Matt Rhule. They’ve been playing some decent football of late and have shown a lot of heart by winning 2 out of their last 3 games. We think the Panthers can hang within this inflated number against the Seahawks.
Seattle is a great story this year, especially since most folks predicted them to be in the cellar of the NFC West. That said, the Seahawks have lost 2 out of their last 3 games, and a couple of their key offensive weapons are banged up. Rookie RB Kenneth Walker and star WR DK Metcalf are both listed as questionable to play.
Metcalf is dealing with a hip injury, while Walker is nursing an ankle problem. If either of them can’t play, it’ll be a huge blow to this Seattle offense.
We think Carolina has the much stronger defense in this matchup, as well as the more productive ground game. Give us the running dog in this one out west! Take the points!
Bengals -5 over Browns
Best Available Odds: -110 at WynnBet
Winning NFL bets is all about finding the right spots! This is a huge revenge spot for Joe Burrow and company. The Bengals were embarrassed by the Browns on Monday Night Football this past Halloween and ended up losing by 19 points as 3-point road favorites.
You can bet that Cincy wants this game badly, and they won’t hesitate to run it up if they can. It took the Bengals a while to hit their stride, but they’ve won 4 straight games, including a great win against the Chiefs last week.
Cleveland’s ground game is pretty strong, but Cincy’s passing offense ranks 3rd in EPA. Both of these defenses have their weaknesses, but we feel the Bengals are slightly better on that side of the ball. In the end, we trust Burrow a heck of a lot more than Deshaun Watson.
6-Point Teaser: Eagles -1 / Ravens +8
Oh yes, the ever-so-lovable Wong Teaser! We’ll do an article on these at some point, but here’s the gist of it. Teasing favorites of 7 to 8.5 through the key numbers has worked well long term. The same is true of teasing underdogs of +1.5 to +2.5.
These types of teasers haven’t done too well this season, but they’re very profitable over the long haul. We get Philly, who is arguably the best team in the NFL, over the Giants at nearly a pick ’em. We also get the Ravens at over a touchdown underdog against their division-rival Steelers.
The Eagles should have a huge edge over the G-Men in the trenches. Philly ranks 2nd in EPA per rush, while New York’s defense only ranks 28th. The Giants’ secondary isn’t anything special, so AJ Brown and DeVonta Smith could have huge games.
As for the AFC North rivalry, Baltimore and Pittsburgh always play each other close. Six out of the last seven meetings have been played within 7 points.
Sure, we know Lamar Jackson is out, but keep in mind that Tyler Huntley is no slouch. He’s very familiar with this offense and should be able to make enough plays to keep this one close. As usual, Baltimore will lean heavily on their excellent running game.