UFC Fight Night: Our Top Picks for Tuivasa vs. Tybura: Look for Meerschaert to Take Down Barberena

UFC Fight Night Our Top Picks for Tuivasa vs. Tybura

Fight fans are fired up and ready for UFC Fight Night on Saturday, March 16. Check out our top picks for Tuivasa vs. Tybura right here. Good luck, folks!


Main Event Play: Tuivasa/Tybura Fight to end in 1st Round (+165 DraftKings)

It has been a while since we have seen a shoey celebration from Tuivasa and we are not positive we will see one after this fight. However, it is our belief that he is going to dictate the pace here and that is going to be extremely fast out of the gate.

Four of his last 8 fights have ended in the 1st round and while it may benefit Tybura to try to drag this one into the later rounds, he is likely not to have a choice.

We expect Tuivasa to put consistent pressure on Tybura from the opening bell which will end in either Tuivasa overwhelming Tybura or Tybura connecting on a counter that puts Tuivasa away.

Main Card Top Play: Meerschaert by Submission (+120 FanDuel)

In his career of 52 fights, Meerschaert has finished 27 of those opponents via submission. While Barberena has only been submitted 3 times in his 29-fight career (18-11), 2 of his last 3 fights have ended with him tapping to his opponent.

We expect the same thing in this one with Meerschaert finding his way to a submission win.

Main Card Top Prop: Saint Preux/Nzechukwu OVER 1.5 Rounds (+120 BetMGM)

Many times, in his previous fights, Kennedy Nzechukwu has gotten off to a slow start. While he is an enormous favorite here (-700 or more), we believe the slow start will continue for him once again.

In 4 of his last 5 wins, the fight went into the 2nd half of the 2nd round. For Saint Preux, the same can be said in 5 of his last 6 losses. The fact that we are able to get plus money on this play makes it a must-play.

Other Leans

Josiane Nunes (-133 at PointsBet)

Macy Chiasson (-230 at Caesars)

Ange Loosa (+155 at Caesars)

Bill Christy Bio Avatar

Bill Christy


Sports Betting Contributor

Bill is a high-volume sports bettor who runs his own sports investing business. He has an uncanny ability to find tons of mathematical edges on each day’s sports betting card. Bill covers all sports but his bread and butter is UFC, Golf, and College Hoops. Find him on X at @LarrysLocks2