UFC 304 Betting Preview: Live Odds, Best Bets, and Predictions for Saturday, July 27
Are you fired up for UFC 304? We are! Check out our betting preview to get up to date on all the odds, best bets, and predictions for Saturday, July 27. Enjoy the action and best of luck with all of your wagers!
Main Event Play: Belal Muhammad (+210)
Finally, Belal gets his long-awaited title shot. And it comes in the form of a rematch that ended in a no-contest back in March of 2021. He took a nasty eye poke that caused him to be unable to continue to fight.
He was on a 4-fight winning streak when that happened and since then, he added 5 more wins to the streak. He has some big names both veteran and up-and-comers on that 5-fight win stretch. Leon is the champion and favorite for a reason. He picked up a unanimous decision over Colby Covington in his last fight where he was able to stuff 8 of the 10 takedowns he faced.
This fight reminded me a lot of when Brendan Moreno 1st got his title shot and took advantage. I believe Belal will be primed and make the most of this opportunity to dethrone Leon.
Top Underdog Play: Gregory Rodrigues (+120)
Gregory Robocop Rodrigues has won 4 of his last 5 fights and will have a tough test here against Christian Leroy Duncan. CLD has some serious power and has finished 8 of his 11 opponents by KO/TKO.
While that is still a worry plus the fact that he has a 4-inch reach advantage, Robocop is arguably the best in the division at pushing the pace and closing distance.
He should be able to get in tight and exchange with CLD and prove he has serious power as well. If he can withstand the 1st round, we like his odds as the fight goes later with his experience.
Main Card Finish Play: Tom Aspinall by KO/TKO/DQ (-175)
Another man looking to make the most of his rematch opportunity is Aspinall. His last bout with Blades ended with a freak broken leg after a kick for Aspinall. He has since recovered and rehabbed and looks as good if not better than he was before the injury.
You would think this match would be a much closer line due to what occurred last fight but the fact that Aspinall is such a heavy favorite leads us to believe that he puts Blades away early in this one. Let’s drink the juice with Aspinall.
Other Leans for All Remaining Fights:
Bobby Green (-115)
Giga Chikadze (+190)
Nathaniel Wood (-425)
Molly McCann (-340)
Bill Christy
Sports Betting Contributor
Bill is a high-volume sports bettor who runs his own sports investing business. He has an uncanny ability to find tons of mathematical edges on each day’s sports betting card. Bill covers all sports but his bread and butter is UFC, Golf, and College Hoops. Find him on X at @LarrysLocks2
