Texans at Colts: Best Bets for Saturday, January 6

Texans at Colts Best Bets for Saturday, January 6

This is going to be a great matchup for the rare Saturday night NFL contest. Both teams are at 9-7 and have a chance to still win the AFC South but could also miss the playoffs completely. If there is a tie, both teams still have paths to make the playoffs but a loss here, and they are eliminated.

Check out our best bets for Texans at Colts below. This one could come down to the wire. Enjoy the game and good luck with your action!

Best Bet: Colts +1.5 (PointsBet)

In their previous meeting, way back in mid-September, The Colts ran out to a 14-0 lead and never really allowed the Texans to get back into the game. However, that was with Anthony Richardson under center. Gardner Minshew has been playing tremendously in the backup role and with Jonathan Taylor back and looking more game-ready, this should be a much more evenly-matched game.

The Texans are coming off a solid 26-3 victory over the Titans. They held the Titans to just 1/12 on 3rd down and just 53 yards on the ground. The Colts are also coming off a win. They defeated the visiting Vegas Raiders 23-20. The Colts led 17-10 heading into the 4th quarter and extended things to 23-13 before O’Connell hit Adams with just 45 seconds left to close the gap but fell short. The Colts have lost 4 games at home this season while the Texans have won 3 games already on the road.

With Stroud back at the helm, it seems as though the public is loving the Texans. We are currently seeing 92% of tickets and 96% of the money coming in on Houston in this matchup. Whenever we see numbers this high, especially on a road team, we find value in the home team. The Colts are rolling, having won 6 of their last 8 games while the Texans have been .500 over their last 6 games. In their 6 losses, the Texans have allowed over 300 yards passing which Minshew and this offense has the ability to do.

Key Trends:

  • Hou is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against Indianapolis.
  • Indy is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against an opponent in the AFC.
  • Indy is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games when playing as the favorite.

SNF Props

Nico Collins TD +130

  • Collins has scored in 3 of his last 5 games.
  • He put up a stat line of 7 catches, 146 yards, and a TD in their last meeting this season.

CJ Stroud OVER 258.5 Passing Yards -115

  • Prior to injury, Stroud had been averaging 348 yards per game over his last 5 games.
  • In their last meeting, Stroud threw for 384 yards which puts him in a good spot for a breakout.

SGP: J. Taylor 50+ Rushing Yards & D. Schultz 40+ Receiving Yards -110

  • Taylor has exceeded this total in 3 of his last 4 games.
  • Schultz needs just 4 catches for a bonus in his contract and 6 more for an additional bonus, getting the 40 yards with those incentives should be easy.

Bill Christy

Sports Betting Contributor

Bill is a high-volume sports bettor who runs his own sports investing business. He has an uncanny ability to find tons of mathematical edges on each day’s sports betting card. Bill covers all sports but his bread and butter is UFC, Golf, and College Hoops. Find him on X at @LarrysLocks2