We are back for some revenge from last Thursday night that saw the Falcons beat the Bucs in wild fashion. We have had some decent Thursday night matchups through the first 5 weeks, and I think we will have another good game this week!
The 49ers roll into Seattle with a 2-3 (.400) record, coming off an embarrassing loss where they were up 13 in the 2nd half. Seattle sits at the top of the NFC West for now at 3-2 (.600) and looks to build on the 49ers struggles!
It’s pretty simple, the 49ers own this matchup, and the Seahawks injuries have caught up to them. I believe the 49ers bounce back and don’t lose to all 3 division teams to start off. They have lost to both the Rams and the Cardinals; it would be a headline if they lost to Seattle to start 0-3 in the division.
The 49ers were up 13 in the 2nd half vs Cardinals and blew that game. This is a good spot for what is still one of the better rosters and coached teams in the NFL. Brock Purdy moved the ball vs Cardinals, and I think his completion % improves vs this Seahawks defense while limiting the turnovers.
In 3 games vs Seattle, Purdy is 3-0 with an average passer rating of 109, a 69% completion %, 264 avg passing yards and 5 total TDs to 2 INTs. While two of those games were at Seattle. Purdy has been good so far this season with a 95.3 passer rating while completing 66% of his passes. His turnover rate must improve, and I believe it will here.
Another big contributor to this offense has been Jordan Mason who is averaging 107 rushing yards per game through 5 games. Seattle has allowed the 12th most rushing yards, 8th most rushing yards per attempts, and I expect him and George Kittle to do some damage this week.
If you are a trend follower, I have a couple nice trends for Thursday night games to back this pick. On Thursday night divisional matchups, divisional home dogs of 3 to 9.5 points with .400 win% or better, are 0-10-2 ATS since 2012. Seattle is currently a home dog of +3.5 with a .600-win percentage.
Also on Thursday night matchups, the away favorite with a losing record vs a home dog with winning record is 12-3-1 ATS since 2011. The 49ers are 2-3 as a road favorite, while Seattle is 3-2 as home dogs. The books clearly see the 49ers as a better team giving them -3.5 on the road in a short week and I think it’s the right side.
Best Bet: 49ers -3 (-114) Bet365
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