Best Player Prop Bets for MNF: Packers at Raiders
The final game of the NFL Week 5 schedule takes place in the betting capital of the world as the Green Bay Packers face off against the Las Vegas Raiders on Monday Night Football.
Green Bay (2-2) comes into the game with a new QB for the first time in 15 years. Jordan Love – a 2020 NFL first-round draft pick – finally earned the spot once longtime starter Aaron Rodgers coerced the Packers into a trade for the star. Love has accounted for 10 TDs since taking snaps under center, amassing nearly 1,000 total yards while completing 56% of his passes.
Las Vegas (1-3) also has a new QB helming the offense. The Raiders signed former 49ers QB Jimmy Garoppolo to a three-year, $67.5 million contract during the offseason, pairing him with former Green Bay WR Davante Adams. According to multiple reports, despite suffering a concussion in Week 3, Garoppolo will start for Las Vegas on Monday night.
With both teams’ preferred QBs under center, which standout players can you expect to make a difference in this final Week 5 contest? Read on to see this game’s best player prop bets for Monday Night Football.
Josh Jacobs UNDER 75.5 Rushing Yards (-113)
With Garoppolo potentially sidelined for this game, Raider RB Josh Jacobs was in line for a larger workload. Against the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 4, Jacobs earned 17 carries for 58 yards and a score while also catching eight of 11 targets for 81 yards with QB Aidan O’Connell leading the Las Vegas offense.
Now that Garoppolo is slated to start, expect the Packers to overcompensate for their lack of running defense to force the Raiders into more passing situations.
Jacobs’ rushing yards will suffer as a result, making this prop bet line of over 75.5 rushing yards an unattainable feat for the veteran RB.
Jordan Love OVER 1.5 Passing TDs (+114)
Love has cooled in his last two contests after a hot start to the 2023 NFL campaign. The first-year starter has tossed three INTs over the last two games, completing just over 56% of his passes for 505 yards and two TDs.
Love started the year with six TDs in two games without throwing a pick. The Raiders are giving up just over 200 yards passing per contest, but Las Vegas has surrendered eight TDs through the air during the first four weeks.
Those TDs surrendered include a pair to Russell Wilson and Kenny Pickett, a pair of QBs that are middling starters at best this season. Expect Love to find multiple WRs open in the endzone to win this prop bet.
Jakobi Meyers Anytime TD scorer (+180)
Few people on the Las Vegas roster will be happier about Jimmy Garoppolo’s return to the starting lineup than WR Jakobi Meyers. The fifth-year receiver has been a favorite of Garoppolo’s in 2023 as Meyers drew 22 targets in their two games together for 166 yards and two scores.
Expect Meyers to continue to earn a significant portion of the targets Monday night. Green Bay’s defense has yielded at least one score to WRs in all but one game this season, allowing QBs to complete over 62% of their passes to their wideouts.
Meyers’ targets should result in the NC State alum crossing the goal line against the Packers.
Jayden Reed OVER 33.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
Talk surrounding which Green Bay WR will emerge as Love’s main target continues to occur. Last season, rookie WR Christian Watson was a Top 10 producer once he emerged as an every-down player.
Thus far, fellow 2022 NFL draft pick Romeo Doubs has been Love’s primary target, garnering a team-leading 20 catches for 224 yards and three scores. Despite not posting flashy numbers, Jayden Reed remains a secondary option that has produced consistent results this season.
While Doubs has seen over double the targets (Doubs’ 25 targets to Reed’s 12) in the past two outings, Reed averages 16.9 yards per catch to rank among the top 15 YPC averages in the NFL. Expect Reed to nab at least three catches Monday night that will eclipse the low prop bet total.
Sports Betting Contributor
Ernie is a 25-year veteran of the newspaper industry. He spent those early years working as a sports reporter and editor, but made the move back to the digital world in 2022. Ernie covers college football and NFL betting for Hello Rookie.