Bengals vs. Ravens: 5 Player Prop Picks for Thursday Night Football
If you’re like us, then you’re ready for the Week 10 Thursday night showdown between the Baltimore Ravens and Cincinnati Bengals. It’s going to be an action-packed AFC North clash.
With Baltimore coming off a dominant win and Cincinnati fighting to stay in the race for the playoffs, this game is pivotal for both sides. For bettors that like to get into the weeds of the game, we’ve got 5 big prop bets you won’t want to miss out on for TNF.
Joe Burrow Over 265.5 Passing Yards
- Prop Bet Odds: -110
Joe Burrow’s arm is one of the Bengals’ most valuable assets. He’ll most likely be called upon to keep Cincinnati competitive against Baltimore by airing out the ball.
The Ravens’ pass defense has already proven to be a bit shaky as they’ve allowed the fifth-most passing yards per attempt (7.9) in the NFL. This sets Burrow up for a big game.
Burrow has hit the over on 265.5 passing yards in just 2 of his last 5 games; however, the big difference in this game is that he passed for a huge 392 yards in his previous outing against Baltimore.
With a healthy Ja’Marr Chase on the field and a solid Bengals passing game (ranked second by PFF), we think Burrow should have plenty of opportunities to blow through this total.
Lamar Jackson Over 47.5 Rushing Yards
- Prop Bet Odds: -115
Lamar Jackson’s rushing ability is always a threat and the rest of the NFL knows that. The problem is, nobody can stop him.
We think he could be especially busy against a Bengals defense that has allowed 130.4 rushing yards per game.
Jackson has consistently put up at least 40 rushing yards in 6 games this season, and his dual-threat ability makes him a nightmare for defenders to contain.
With Cincinnati’s pass rush likely to pressure Jackson throughout the entirety of the game, we expect him to break free for several chunk gains on the ground.
The over on 47.5 rushing yards is pretty high, but easily achievable given his recent form and Baltimore’s need to establish control over the game tempo.
Ja’Marr Chase Over 82.5 Receiving Yards
- Prop Bet Odds: -120
If we’re going with the over on Burrow, we need to take the over on Chase.
Ja’Marr Chase has been a force this season. He ranks among the league leaders in both receptions and receiving yards. Chase is averaging over 80 yards per game and faces a Baltimore secondary that has struggled against elite receivers like himself.
With Tee Higgins sidelined, Chase becomes even more crucial to the Bengals’ offense and has been a go-to target for Burrow.
In a high-stakes divisional game like this, Burrow is likely to lean heavily on his top target which means the over on 82.5 receiving yards is a strong bet.
Chase has cleared this mark in multiple games this season, and his big-play potential could push him over early.
Zay Flowers Over 5.5 Receptions
- Prop Bet Odds: +125
Zay Flowers has quickly become one of Lamar Jackson’s favorite targets in his rookie season.
Flowers is averaging around 5 catches per game. To take that even further, with Cincinnati’s focus likely shifting toward stopping Mark Andrews, Flowers should see a steady flow of targets.
The Bengals’ defense ranks near the middle of the pack in pass defense, but the bad news for them is that Flowers’ speed and separation skills make him a tough cover.
With his reception line set at over 5.5 with plus odds, this pick offers a pretty decent value for a player who could see a bump in usage if the game turns into a shootout which many handicappers are thinking will happen.
Derrick Henry Anytime Touchdown Scorer
- Prop Bet Odds: -285
While the focus may be on Lamar Jackson and Joe Burrow in this game, we think Derrick Henry’s ability to find the end zone makes this a nice pick for an anytime touchdown scorer.
Henry has shown he can absolutely bulldoze his way through even the strongest front sevens which includes Cinci’s.
With 11 TDs already this season, Henry has been a consistent scoring machine. Topping that off is the fact that the Bengals’ defense has had trouble with power backs.
Given his usage near the goal line, Henry is a no-brainer bet to score at some point in the game.
Get Your Bets in On these Props!
These picks reflect players in ideal spots to hit their props given recent trends, matchups, and team dynamics.
The odds might not be the best for these as we’re big fans of plus odds, but they’re still a good value heading into this TNF matchup.
Keep an eye on these stars Thursday night — if all goes as expected, they’ll make a mark on this pivotal AFC North battle.
Matt Brown
Head of Sports Betting and DFS
Matt’s love for sports betting and daily fantasy sports, coupled with a deep understanding of football, hockey, and baseball, shapes his innovative thoughts on Hello Rookie. He has a B.S. in Aeronautical Computer Science and a M.S. in Project Management.