It’s a short, sharp Friday on the ice, with just two NHL games on the board, which makes it a good night to focus on one of the simplest prop markets out there: shots on goal. You don’t need a goal, an assist or a big highlight to cash a shots prop. You just need a player who gets the puck, gets it on net, and faces a team that lets him do it.

Below are three shots on goal props for Friday, November 13: Mika Zibanejad when the Rangers visit Vancouver at 9:00 PM ET, and Roman Josi and Victor Olofsson when Nashville visits Vegas at 10:00 PM ET. Each one comes down to the same recipe of steady volume, ice time and a friendly matchup, and I’ll explain the why behind every pick in plain English.

Mika Zibanejad Over 1.5 Shots on Goal Has a Soft Matchup Behind It

Zibanejad is the Rangers’ top-line center, and he plays like it, skating about 20 and a half minutes a night, including roughly three minutes on the power play. He’s averaging 1.8 shots on goal per game this season and scoring at around 0.95 points per game, so he is involved in plenty of New York’s offense. The simple version of a shots prop is that the more time a player has the puck on his stick, the more chances he has to fire it.

His last 10 games have been a bit uneven, with the over 1.5 landing in 4 of them, so this pick leans on the matchup more than the trend. Vancouver is giving up 23.3 shots on goal per game to opposing forwards, the most of any team in the league, and the Canucks are 1-9 over their last 10 with 4.5 goals allowed per game. When a defense is leaking like that, top-line forwards tend to see a lot of the puck. Zibanejad also opened this season with a three-shot game against Vancouver back on October 11.

The Rangers are heavy favorites at around -225 with a total near 6.5, which points to a night where New York has the puck and the lead. Zibanejad only needs two shots to get there, and the best price on the over 1.5 is around -185. Check your book for the current number before you bet.

Roman Josi Over 1.5 Shots on Goal Is a Defenseman Who Fires Constantly

Defensemen are one of the most overlooked groups in shots on goal props, and Josi is a great example. He’s the Predators’ quarterback, playing big minutes at even strength and on the power play, and he shoots from the blue line all night. He is averaging around 2.8 shots per game this season, and over his last 10 games that has climbed to about 3.0.

The consistency is the selling point. Josi has cleared 1.5 shots in 9 of his last 10 games, and that kind of reliability is rare for any skater, let alone one who isn’t a forward. Defensemen who shoot from the point don’t need to win a battle in front of the net to record a shot, which gives him a high floor even on quiet nights. Nashville is also on the road against a Vegas team that can control possession, so he should have plenty of chances to get pucks through from the point.

One thing to know before you bet: some books are posting his main line at 2.5, and his over 2.5 rate is much closer to a coin flip. The pick here is the 1.5 number, where he has been about as reliable as anyone on the slate, so shop around and make sure you are getting the line you want.

Victor Olofsson Over 1.5 Shots on Goal at -205 Is Heavy Juice for a Reason

Olofsson has been one of the steadier shooters on the Golden Knights, and the numbers explain why FanDuel has him at -205 for the over 1.5. He has cleared that number in 7 of his last 10 games, including each of his last 5, and in 6 of the 7 games he has played this season. He is averaging 2.9 shots per game this year and 2.5 over his last 10.

The ice time is modest at around 13.9 minutes a night, which is the one flag here, but he is very efficient with it. Vegas is at home, and over his last 25 games he has averaged 2.8 shots at home compared with 1.6 on the road. He also gets a Nashville team that allows about 29 shots on goal per game, which ranks eighth most in the league.

A price of -205 means you are paying a premium, so this one works best as a safer piece of the card rather than a stand-alone swing. If you are building a parlay, it’s one of the more dependable legs on the slate. As always, check your book, because prices on shots props move through the day.

Today’s Edge: Three Shots Props for Friday Night

All three plays follow the same logic. Volume, minutes and a team that allows shots matter more than a name on the lineup card. Here is the full card for Friday, November 13:

Shots props are one of the more forgiving corners of the betting market for newer bettors, since you can follow the action live and every puck on net counts. Bet only what you can afford to lose, and check your sportsbook for final lines before you play.