Wednesday’s MLB slate is loaded with front-line arms, and three of them stand out as prime strikeout prop targets: Paul Skenes, Dylan Cease, and Zack Wheeler are all on the mound in favorable spots, and the numbers behind each of them make a strong case for betting the over.

These are three of the best swing-and-miss pitchers in baseball right now, each carrying real recent form and a matchup that plays to their strengths. Here’s the breakdown on all three, and why the strikeout overs make sense today.

Paul Skenes Has Been Nearly Automatic Over His Last 10 Starts

Paul Skenes takes the mound for the Pirates against the Brewers with his strikeout line sitting right around 6.5, and the recent trend here is hard to ignore. Skenes has gone over that number in 9 of his last 10 starts — a 90% hit rate that’s about as strong a recent sample as you’ll find on the slate.

The season-long numbers back it up. Skenes has racked up 156 strikeouts on the year and carries a strong K/9 that’s kept oddsmakers setting his line in that 6.5-6.7 range nearly every outing. Milwaukee’s lineup isn’t the free-swinging group it once was, but Skenes has shown he can miss bats against contact-oriented teams just as easily as against strikeout-prone ones — his stuff simply plays. With a track record this consistent over his last 10 turns, the over on his strikeout prop is one of the stronger plays on the board tonight.

Bettors looking to line up his prop alongside the game itself should check live MLB odds before locking in a number, since strikeout lines can shift closer to first pitch.

Dylan Cease Is Missing Bats at an Elite Rate All Season

Dylan Cease gets the ball for the Blue Jays against Houston, and his strikeout prop sits around 7.5. Cease has hit the over on this number in roughly 70% of his starts this season — a strong hit rate for a pitcher who’s been one of the most dominant strikeout arms in the American League all year.

The underlying stats explain why. Cease is sitting on 174 strikeouts through his starts this season, a K/9 north of 13, and a 2.41 ERA that ranks among the best marks in baseball. That combination of swing-and-miss stuff and command has made him a near lock to clear elevated strikeout totals most nights out. Houston’s lineup has shown some swing-and-miss tendencies against high-velocity arms, which only strengthens the case for another strong strikeout night from Cease. At a 70% season-long hit rate, this is a prop worth building into any parlay or straight bet tonight.

Zack Wheeler’s Elite Strikeout Rate Makes Him a Must-Play

Zack Wheeler starts for the Phillies against Washington with his strikeout total hovering around 6.5, and the case for the over here is built on some of the best underlying numbers of any pitcher in baseball. Wheeler is running a 32.6% strikeout rate this season — an elite figure that places him among the league’s most dominant arms at missing bats.

Wheeler has been a true workhorse too, averaging north of six innings per start, which gives him more than enough runway to clear a 6.5 strikeout total even on nights when his stuff is only average. His 30.9% whiff rate shows hitters simply aren’t squaring him up, and Washington’s lineup ranks among the more strikeout-prone groups in the National League. Between the elite K rate and a matchup that plays right into his hands, Wheeler’s strikeout over is one of the safer plays on tonight’s slate.

Lock These In

All three of these arms bring swing-and-miss stuff, favorable matchups, and strong recent form to the mound tonight. Here’s the full rundown on today’s strikeout props:

Check your sportsbook for the most current lines before betting, since strikeout props can move throughout the day as lineups are finalized.