5 Player Prop Picks for the AFC and NFC Championship Games


The stage is all set for the AFC and NFC Championship Games tomorrow, with the Chiefs hosting the Bills at Arrowhead and the Eagles taking on the Commanders at Lincoln Financial Field. With Super Bowl berths on the line for all 4 teams, these games are dripping with drama, excitement, and, of course, plenty of betting opportunities.
If you want to throw down some prop bets on these games, we have five of the best player prop bets for these matchups.
Player | Prop | Odds |
---|---|---|
Travis Kelce | Over 70.5 Receiving Yards | -115 |
Isiah Pacheco | Over 25.5 Rushing Yards | -235 |
Josh Allen | Anytime Touchdown Scorer | +120 |
Terry McLaurin | Over 61.5 Receiving Yards | -110 |
Patrick Mahomes | Under 0.5 Interceptions | -110 |
Travis Kelce Over 70.5 Receiving Yards
- Player Prop Odds: -115
Travis Kelce has been a postseason machine for the Chiefs. His track record in high-stakes games is simply impossible to ignore.
Over his last 14 playoff appearances, Kelce has blown through 70 receiving yards in every game. Against the Bills’ secondary, which ranks just 24th in passing yards allowed, we think Kelce is set to deliver yet another big performance to get the Chiefs to the Super Bowl.
In their regular-season meeting, Kelce recorded 85 yards on 7 catches despite getting a rare loss. With Patrick Mahomes targeting him in nearly every critical situation, we expect the Chiefs’ star TE to dominate again and rack up yards like a wide receiver.
This is easily one of the best NFL player prop bets heading into this weekend.
Isiah Pacheco Over 25.5 Rushing Yards
- Player Prop Odds: -235
While the odds are a bit steep, Isiah Pacheco clearing 25.5 rushing yards feels like a lock if we’ve ever seen one.
Pacheco has hit this mark in 12 of his last 13 appearances at Arrowhead Stadium and we don’t think this game will be any different. The Chiefs will likely look to establish the run to balance their offense against a Bills defense that has been vulnerable to ground attacks as well. This prop actually plays really well with Kelce’s yardage prop.
Buffalo allowed 4.3 yards per carry this season. That’s in the lower half of the NFL. To top that off, Pacheco’s aggressive running style will be key to exploiting those gaps and stretching the field on the ground.
Even if the Chiefs lean on Mahomes and Kelce in the passing game, Pacheco should easily get enough touches to cruise past this low total with no problems at all.
As we said, these aren’t the best odds, but it smells like free money.
Josh Allen Anytime Touchdown Scorer
- Player Prop Odds: +120
Anytime TDs are a tricky play and QB anytime TDs are even trickier. However, you have to hear us out.
Josh Allen’s dual-threat ability makes him a constant red-zone danger. He’s already racked up 6 rushing touchdowns this season, and with the Bills facing a pretty tough Chiefs defense, Allen’s legs will be a critical weapon when they get deep in the red zone.
The Chiefs have allowed 5 rushing touchdowns to QBs this year, and Allen thrives under pressure in the playoffs.
If Buffalo gets near the goal line, most likely within 10 yards, don’t be surprised when you see Allen punch it in himself. He’s not one to vulture for credit, but he’s definitely one that wants to win.
Getting this NFL prop bet at plus money adds even more value to an already strong play.
Terry McLaurin Over 61.5 Receiving Yards
- Player Prop Odds: -110
Terry McLaurin has been the Commanders’ offensive heartbeat. Just take a look at how rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels has leaned heavily on him during their Cinderella playoff run.
McLaurin has hit this number in 7 of Washington’s last 8 games and has totaled 87 yards in their upset win over Detroit last week. That’s no easy task in itself.
Philadelphia’s defense has been strong this season but we have seen them occasionally struggle to contain big-play receivers. McLaurin’s ability to stretch the field and rack up yards-after-catch makes this prop really nice, as the Commanders will need to rely on their passing game to keep pace with the highspeed Eagles.
Patrick Mahomes Under 0.5 Interceptions
- Player Prop Odds: -110
Patrick Mahomes has been playing fairly clean football, with 0 interceptions in his last 7 games. That’s because Kansas City’s offense has been built around efficient drives and methodical decision-making — which we think will continue against the Bills.
Buffalo’s defense isn’t the strongest when it comes to the secondary. They have forced only 1 interception in their last 3 games and this is despite playing against pass-heavy offenses.
Mahomes’ ability to evade pressure, find opportunities, and avoid mistakes gives this prop plenty of value, especially in a game where the Chiefs are slight favorites.
The odds aren’t the greatest, but Mahomes is one of the greatest quarterbacks to play the game, so this prop bet looks pretty promising.
These Are the Best NFL Prop Bets for this Weekend
This weekend’s championship games offer some really incredible opportunities for player props.
Whether it’s Travis Kelce’s consistent yardage, Josh Allen’s versatility on the ground, or even Terry McLaurin’s explosiveness to rack up big yardage, there’s value all across the board. Then, mix in some safer plays like Pacheco’s rushing yards and bold bets like Mahomes staying turnover-free, and you’ve got a fairly balanced lineup of props for your bet slip.
Of course, there are more props than these ones to jump on, but these ones are simply the best based on our analysis and the odds the bookmakers are giving them. Be sure to shop the odds and take advantage of a sportsbook bonus or two while you’re at it.

Matt Brown
Head of Sports Betting and DFS
Matt’s love for sports betting and daily fantasy sports, coupled with a deep understanding of football, hockey, and baseball, shapes his innovative thoughts on Hello Rookie. He has a B.S. in Aeronautical Computer Science and a M.S. in Project Management.