NFL 2020 Wild Card Weekend DraftKings Picks and Optimal Lineups

NFL 2020 Wild Card Weekend DraftKings Picks and Optimal Lineups

Wild Card Weekend kicks off this afternoon, and as you might expect from the first playoff slate of the season, scoring will likely be much tighter than what we saw all season. Before we jump right into our picks for this Wild Card DFS slate, take our poll and let us know who your favorite play at each position is on DraftKings this weekend.

Favorite QB play for Wild Card Weekend

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wild card weekend lineup strategy 2020

Our Wild Card Weekend DFS Targets

With some of the toughest defenses in the NFL in action, it appears that scoring will be much lower for this slate than what we got used to throughout the regular season.

The difference can be seen in today’s implied totals. We were used to seeing numbers in the 30’s throughout the regular season, and that clearly is not the case here today. The number on the right side of this table is the team’s scoring average in the 2019-2020 regular season.

The only team with an implied total higher than their season scoring average is the Buffalo Bills, who face a Houston defense that is clearly the weakest in these playoffs.

Team Opponent Implied Total Avg PPG
Saints Vikings 28 29
Patriots Titans 24 26
Vikings Saints 24 25
Seahawks Eagles 23 25
Texans Bills 23 24
Eagles Seahawks 22 24
Titans Patriots 21 25
Bills Texans 21 20

wild card weekend dfs slate overview

Drew Brees

DraftKings Salary – $6,600 | FanDuel Salary – $8,500
We are all in on Brees at home here… For his career, Brees averages over 22 DraftKings PPG in the playoffs, and is even better at home. Looking at his numbers this season, Brees average nearly 28 PPG at home and only 15 PPG at home. We have seen throughout this season that this Vikings secondary is vulnerable, and I think Brees will move the ball at will against them at home.

Derrick Henry

DraftKings Salary – $8,200 | FanDuel Salary $9,300
Henry closed out his 2019-2020 regular season much like he did in 2018, on an absolute tear… averaging over 28 DraftKings PPG over the second half of the year. The Patriots pass defense was historically good, but the run defense was the definition of average, giving up 4.2 YPC on the season. We know the Titans are going to feed Henry early and often, and expect him to see 25+ carries and get to 2.5x value on volume alone here.

Alvin Kamara

DraftKings Salary – $7,400 | FanDuel Salary – $8,200
We saw the Saints lean heavily on Kamara in the playoffs last season, targeting him 13 times (11 receptions) in the NFC Championship game. If Zimmer is able to scheme for Michael Thomas (nobody has all season so unlikely) Kamara could end up the focal point of both the run and pass games here this week. The Saints offense is matchup proof at home, and will certainly put up points in this one. I think this makes Kamara one of the safest plays in this slate.

James White

DraftKings Salary – $4,200 | FanDuel Salary $6,200
James White is always a lock in the playoffs, and we will have plenty of shares of him here today. In fact, White averages over 15 DraftKings PPG in his 15 career playoff games. We don’t expect Sony Michel to find much success against the Titans front 7 that only gave up 4.0 YPC and 104 YPG on the season.

Tyler Lockett

DraftKings Salary – $7,200 | FanDuel Salary – $7,300
The Eagles secondary steadily improved throughout the regular season, but are still one of the weaker units in action this Wild Card weekend. Lockett should have a massive mismatch working out of the slot, and looks like he’s fully healthy after averaging over 16 DraftKings PPG over the last three weeks of the regular season.

Cole Beasley

DraftKings Salary – $5,600 | FanDuel Salary – $6,300
While Bradley Roby has lined up in the slot a good bit this past season, he has spent more time on opposing number one WR’s as of late. We know the Texans have struggled against the slot all year, cutting their starting nickel corner after the first month of the season. It’s hard to get away from Beasley here as he averaged just under 20 DraftKings PPG over the last 5 weeks of the regular season, a stretch that saw him receive 2+ more targets/week than Brown.

Tre’Quan Smith

DraftKings Salary – $4,000 | FanDuel Salary – $5,500
Smith is a guy we were extremely high on heading into this season, but injuries (both his and Brees) slowed down his 2019 campaign. That said, he closed out the regular season on a tear, scoring 4 touchdowns in his final 6 games, and averaging just under 10 DraftKings PPG over the last month of the regular season.

Dawson Knox

DraftKings Salary – $2,900 | FanDuel Salary $4,800
The tight end position is ridiculously ugly in this slate. Clearly the Eagles tight ends are the most appealing, but with Zach Ertz status still up in the air, I could not include them in this article. Joshua Perkins (also $2,900) will be an extremely popular pick if Ertz is out here. That being said, give me Knox and his big-play upside in a much more favorable matchup than Jonnu Smith, Kyle Rudolph, and Irv Smith. With John Brown likely to see a lot of Bradley Roby, it seems as though Knox and Beasley will be the top targets for Allen this week.

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