FanDuel NFL Week 7 Sunday Million Picks and Optimal Lineup

FanDuel NFL Week 7 Sunday Million Picks and Optimal Lineup

With our Week 7 picks for DraftKings and SuperDraft already live, let’s walk through strategy and lineup selection for the $1.8M FanDuel Sunday Million. Whether you are a single lineup player new to daily fantasy or max entering and looking for an extra edge, the stacks and players suggested below could be the key to unlocking the $300,000 prize.

The most important thing to remember in a top-heavy payout contest this size (428,571 entries) is that you need to balance the goals of trying to select a lineup that optimizes points while also minimizing ownership, as each player you use becomes less valuable to you the more they appear in competing lineups.

With that in mind, we try to target stacks that project to have ownership values under 10%. Unless there is a home-run pick, like Alexander Mattison was with Dalvin Cook out two weeks ago, we will avoid any players projected to have ownership over 20%. Here are a few names that stand out to us on FanDuel for Week 7:

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Stack: QB: Jalen Hurts – $8300 & WR: DeVonta Smith – $5800

Dallas Goedert is not the only player that will get more targets with Zach Ertz out of the picture. Even though Goedert will be the primary beneficiary, Smith will get more attention now as well. Where he won’t be getting attention this week is in DFS, where last week’s major two-catch, 31-yard dud and an obsession over Goedert will combine to leave Smith completely ignored in a great matchup on the road against a beatable Raiders pass defense.

Jalen Hurts needs no introduction here as he’s tied for the league lead for QB rushing TD’s with five and second in QB rushing yards with 300. Those rushing totals spell upside from a fantasy perspective. What makes him particularly compelling here is that he while he is only the 7th most expensive QB on DraftKings, he is the 4th most expensive on FanDuel. This could cause people to pass on him on FanDuel particularly, creating an opportunity for you to select him and jump the field if he goes off.

Pairing him with Smith will only make your lineup that much more unique, as the majority of DFS players who stack the Eagles in Week 7 will fixate on Goedert and forget about Hurts’ favorite WR. We are not opposed to starting all three Eagles players but would lean towards the smaller ownership with Smith over Goedert.

Stack: QB: Justin Fields – $6500 & WR: Allen Robinson II – $5800

Remember when Allen Robinson II was considered a top draft pick a couple of months ago? Whoops. Still, stacking him with Fields on the road against Tampa Bay is a move that could really pay off. Nobody else will consider this strategy, and the price of this pair affords you significant lineup flexibility elsewhere. Despite Tampa Bay’s reputation as an elite defense, they are surprisingly in the bottom half of the league in total points allowed through Week 6.

I’m fairly certain the Bears will have to throw in this game, and Robinson II will be Fields’ best chance at putting up a decent passing line. Fields also has plenty of running upside which he finally started to hint at last week against the Packers with 43 rushing yards.

I think it’s a matter of time before Fields and Robinson II click at least a little bit, and at these prices with an excellent game script opportunity and what appears to be an approachable matchup, I think pairing them is a strong strategy.

Worth the Price: RB: Darrell Henderson Jr. – $8,000

With so much interest directed at Matthew Stafford for his Week 7 rematch against the Lions, DFS players are ignoring Henderson. While the storyline isn’t as exciting here, the fantasy setup is arguably even better. The Lions rush defense is hysterical. Stafford is unlikely to be in a throwing situation too deep into this severe mismatch, but Henderson should still get plenty of chances in this game.

Even though he’s been consistently good in every game this season, many will turn away from Henderson’s high price tag because he lacks name-brand value. That will just keep his ownership lower in an outstanding matchup for a strong RB in a great offense against the league’s worst defense.

Value: WR: Henry Ruggs III- $5,700

Henry Ruggs III leads the NFL in yards per catch and it’s not even close. At 22.2 yards per catch, he leads everyone’s favorite rookie WR Ja’Marr Chase, who’s averaging 20.5 yards per catch, by almost a full two yards. This is a WR with way too much upside to be overlooked at this dirt-cheap price.

Additionally, Ruggs III gets to face a weak Philadelphia pass defense that should offer him plenty of chances to show off his blazing speed and big play ability. Despite the upside, I don’t expect him to get too much attention in Week 7 due to his inconsistency and the lack of interest in stacking him with an unexciting Derek Carr.

Inconsistency is no reason to avoid a player in DFS though. Use the volatility to your advantage and select a player that has unique ability to put up a big line for a small price. While Ruggs’ price at FanDuel is more attractive than his Week 7 price at DraftKings, he is a solid play on both DFS platforms this week.

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